It feels like we’re about month six into an indefinite branding war with the mainstream financial community and even some of our own over whether bitcoin per se, or blockchain technology (sans deflationary currency) is the winning fintech innovation from 2009. And admittedly, there are good arguments against bitcoin becoming a legitimate currency — or even a rails of payments used by anyone who prefers to keep their bank account intact and stay on the right side of the law. For instance, there is still institutional fear that the technology is infeasible to use for payments because it’s impossible to reverse charges, and difficult to surveil the bitcoin network for bad actors and black market transactions (both problems seem solvable by bitcoin startups). There is wariness to buy-in to the “bitcoin as a backbone” argument where institutions hide the currency and use the tech and its token behind the scenes, mainly because bitcoin is still (according to its own chief scientist) in a beta release. The security of the network is still relatively weak, and hundred billion dollar multi-nationals aren’t going to invest in a network that might cease to exist in five years without any clear contingency plans. As a Bitcoin permabull, these short term challenges don’t bother me. But I list them because they are rational concerns and ones that will take years to quell at an institutional level. In the meantime, you’ll see dabbling in alternative protocols like Ripple and Stellar and Ethereum and Hyperledger, and (gasp) these same institutions will even fork open-source code and make it their own. (Michael Lewis writes in Flash Boys about the laughable degree to which Goldman makes open-source code their own “IP”.) I think Tim Swanson’s paper nailed it (for the most part) and that this experimentation with blockchain-not-bitcoin is perfectly fine. Bitcoin might not ultimately make it as a currency in the world’s largest economies, and it might prove to be a pretty poor store of value if its corresponding tech is relegated to second-tier status in favor of a more government/bank friendly protocol. With that in mind, competition is healthy and new ideas are welcome when it comes blockchain tech, I think. But there is a huge caveat. The longer that bitcoin survives, the more likely it is to disrupt a large swath of developing economy currencies. I’m increasingly convinced that Wences et al have been right all along with bitcoin as a value store (reserve) emerging as its hidden-in-plain-sight killer app. In a stroke of irony, we might be looking at 50–50 odds that bitcoin’s character arc goes from cryptoanarchist currency, to commodity that powers 1.0 financial technology, and back to functional currency reserve for much of the developing world. And if that’s where it settles for the medium-term, it would still be a phenomenal outcome. Consider: Bitcoin inflation slows to ~4% by 2017 — reasonable by most any economist’s modern standards and not too far off of the target thresholds for most central banks. This is also a predictable 4%. Yes, that figure belies the forex swings that bitcoin will inevitably experience as a young currency, but the rate of seignorage will still be quite low. And less new bitcoin money creation will inevitably reduce sell-side pressure from miners as a percentage of total network transactions. That could and probably will help the market stabilize enough to price more and cheaper derivatives to hedge out volatility for those who don’t want it. Consider: Most developing economy currencies suck, and will be debased into oblivion within two decades, if not much sooner. If you believe your current currency has a 50% chance of being completely destroyed in the next ten years, and think bitcoin has a 50% chance of being alive at all, it makes sense to buy bitcoin with your less sexy currency. It probably only takes one country to start buying bitcoin for their central bank (as if it’s gold), for others to follow suit in rapid succession. (FWIW, Gyft’s Vinny Lingham, who has proven to have an uncanny knack for picking the price trends that matter, agrees with me.) Consider: Dozens of countries around the world already operate on a two currency system with the US dollar as a viable alternative to their local options. Economists’ dismissiveness of bitcoin as a potential reserve currency on the grounds that “governments and their central banks would never cede that kind of monetary control” ignores pretty much all of the evidence that already exists which shows how it is an extremely rare luxury to live in a country with a central bank that has any flexibility whatsoever with respect to monetary policy. i.e. if a country’s central bank stores dollars and gold, it might like BTC. Consider: Not even the US dollar is likely to be the world’s reserve currency in 20 years. I have begged on social media for some smart economist to refute this, but none have so far. It’s easy to look at our surging economy and think “we’re still the best”, but China’s economy will dwarf our own by 2040. India will likely eclipse us as well. And its a slam dunk that frontier markets will continue to command a larger chunk of the global GDP pie. (Europe is still probably screwed.) In a world where the US is the second or third largest economy in the world and commands 15% of its GDP rather than 25%, who honestly thinks the greenback is going to be the only currency reserve? (That’s not rhetorical, by the way. Send me a counter-argument and I’ll reprint it.) If all that is true, then it follows: In a world where even the mack daddy of all fiat reserve currencies is dethroned, and a neutral, stable, predictable alternative exists, some countries are going to start taking a chance on bitcoin. It really only takes one successful experiment to create a domino effect, and those tier II (and III and IV) government currencies will collectively fade to black. The longer bitcoin survives, the longer we have to build the robust infrastructure to support a fully functional bitcoin ecosystem that could swoop in to support an entire small country. All we need to do is stay heads down and wait for one regional storm to brew in a world that is frankly already plagued by currency wars. In a stroke of irony, policymakers and Keynesian economists might finally see the “bancor” global reserve currency that their idol John Maynard Keynes proposed 80 years ago. Only it will sneak up on them from the frontier. And it will be completely beyond their control.
Finally, Pheeva Bitcoin Wallet in the IOS App store. No Coop signup needed.
Itunes Link: https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/pheeva-wallet/id885343126?mt=8 Tell a friend, tell a friend!! The Pheeva Bitcoin Wallet is now available in the iTunes App Store. We are excited to release this version. The store download makes it a lot easier for people to download the wallet. You can still signup to be apart of the Cog Cooperative but it's no longer mandator. Thanks for the love we get on reddit and the people who've helped us make the wallet better through recommendations. Pheeva Features: Paper Wallet import through scan Currency Switcher Customizable Miner's fees CoinID's for easy transmission Encrypted key back up and additional session pin And the "should be patentable", Grown and Sexy interface. We also pioneered, in-wallet gift card purchases w/ Gyft. With this integration you to purchase gift cards to over 200 brands in-wallet, with a couple of clicks. If you have any personal questions, email me at [email protected], I usually respond back in a reasonable manner. Thanks again, Lamar PS: We are in the Play store as well! https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.pheeva.pheevaWallet&hl=en CEO Love Will Inc Live Love Love Life
Thoughts on the current state of Bitcoin from someone who participates in much of the ecosystem [and tipping thread ;) ]
Hey guys, So this is something I've been looking at for a while now, and kind of seeing some things die and other things be born. Some things are getting easier, and other things getting more difficult. I want to take this time to outline the last few months and how my sentiment is reflected towards the market. I have to say, the market generally matches how my "emotions" playout towards the ecosystem as a whole. I'll outline just a few short things on both the bearish and the bullish sides of my sentiment, even if things don't effect the overall sentiment much (at least according to most traders and people) I'd like to point them out because I view them as notable. Some of the not so good things that have been happening:
Home Mining/Trading/Altcoins: Not too long ago mining was still fun for the home miner with nothing but a GPU. I'm talking a mere couple months. The altcoin section of bitcointalk is/was by far the most active. People didn't care if the coins were in fact pump and dumps or not, but people would bet on their horses and either flourish (like some of my friends did with Mazacoin) or, if got in at the wrong time, was utterly decimated. Darkcoin was a small revival of that hype, but now the market caps of these altcoins and "pump and dump" coins, have all been figured out by the community, and too many of us have been burned to support any alt coin much anymore. I still hold some, but I often ask myself why I even bother? I left 1 BTC worth of alts in cryptsy months ago, and now its a a mere fraction of that, as you could imagine. This sounds like a good thing, but those same months ago, I had a couple friends mining with GPU's and figuring the whole crypto world out. Now they maybe have $100 worth of bitcoins for shits, but they are most certainly not going to go out and buy any Antminer S3's or other similar relatively cheap miner. Gamer nerds are quite simply, priced out now for the most part.
Gambling World: The gambling world (up until a couple days ago, but I'll get to that later) didn't have much development or innovation, and user growth was probably (after the Just-Dice incident in particular) in a negative spiral. It seems that if you've followed the BTC gambling scene for a while, you've seen sites come and go (much like altcoins), and for those of us that don't check the forums and reddit everyday, a lot of consumers or newbies could have been burned hard by some of this.
"Good news" brings the price down: This seems to be counter-intuitive to most, but to some of us bitcoiners who trade/forecast/follow the markets a little closer, and not only that, are familiar with trading other assets as well, definitely get skid-dish of this apparent ecosystem flourishing without a quickly growing community to back it up. (Sure our reddit subscriber count is going through the roof, but how about our active users? You look at the trading volume, transaction volume, or real user growth etc. it just seems like it isn't growing that fast (But this isn't that bad, and there are things all of us can do to help that, I'll get to that below, DON'T WORRY, this isn't a whiney, complainy bear thread).
Waning enthusiasm for the broader ecosystem: It seems people are almost numb to all the good news, and the bad news just sends us into a panic. Granted, the amount of bad news since Gox/China has been pretty damn minuscule other than bigger ecosystem and development problems. The amount of sites I involve myself in the cryptosphere has been cut into a fifth or less of what I used to do. Think coindesk, The bitcoingroup talks (which seem to have dropped off a bit in popularity, no offense but it was a little corny, but I still liked it <3), I still listen to Lets Talk Bitcoin, but probably not as much as I used to, and I think a lot of the die hard bitcoiners feel similar. I mean, in a given morning it could be: 2-3 altcoin pools/sites/subreddits, cryptsy, coindesk,reddit, bitcointalk forum, ischinaawake.com, btc-e for trollbox hilarity, and many others. Now? Probably this subreddit, and the mining section of bitcointalk. I rarely check the price anymore, maybe once a day, but I'm never hoping for moon, I just want stability while we all work to get out our products and projects and things that we feel could make a difference, not only in the bitcoin world, but the rest of it too. There was an IRC channel where people would talk about cryptostalks and all the next ones and this that and the other, now I wonder if anyone even actually uses that site for anything anymore. Maybe people were scared off by regulation and Fincen? Who knows....
Anyway, in many respects it feels like a lot of the bitcoin ecosystem is dying, and maybe we should all panic, cry, and shit our pants, but a few things haven't been going badly, and in fact, I'm looking optimistic that the next time a surge of new users enters the market for whatever reason, there will be a much more developed and kind ecosystem to take part of. No one is going to be touting the next 5 second confirmation coin, no more of the ubiquitous "investment" opportunities that await the uninitiated. Other than my love for bitcoin in general, this is what makes me not panic sell, and what keeps me optimistic about the bitcoin future:
The Local community has returned to where I live, in a big way: Bitcoin meetups were getting mixed turnouts, so much so that the two organizers just decided to stop having them altogether. I felt slightly guilty of this, because it was a lot of different kinds of folks coming for a lot of different kind of reasons, which is totally fine, but there never was a comfortable intermingling of all involved. Not everyone became friends after, and many of the first timers weren't hellbent on coming to the next one. However, we just had our last bitcoin meetup and there was over FIFTY people there. This was insane. Not only that, a member from the bitcoin foundation, several local startups, and businesses were there giving presentations. I got shithammered drunk and even exchanged a number while I was there. And get this, I was sitting at a table with two girls? And spoiler alert: They weren't the only two girls there. Woah. This is the bitcoin future!
Merchant adoption: is at a rabid dog pace, and Bitpay, Coinbase, and others are doing amazing. Most yC startups could only dream of getting this far. It seems to never end, and although people don't care as much, its still awesome. Like, I felt there was more hype when Jimmy Wales talked about accepting BTC, than when he actually did, granted its a weird not obvious way to donate, BUT, we are almost desensitized to merchant adoption now because its so rampant. Newegg, Dell, 5200 businesses on coinmap (ok, I lied earlier, I still totally check coinmap). But yeah, Merchant acceptance all day long. Oh, and Lyft on Gyft.... mmm life savingly awesome!
Remittances is becoming a reality: All the time we are seeing services targeting Mexico, Argentina, The Philippines and other countries trying to get things done over there just a little cheaper than Western Union. Granted some are a little more built out than others, but 37coins, and other services similar really excite me, and hold a lot of promise for an application bitcoin can really accel at. Everyone remembers Andreas Antonopoulos planting that seed in our heads a while back, and business sees it too. It's happening, but this shit doesn't happen overnight, however, we have our work cut out for us. We still have a "chicken and egg problem" when it comes to user adoption. Thats where we, the bitcoin community, needs to step in.
Some of the Dark parts of the eco-system are alive and well again: OpenBazaar (its coming), SR2, yeah its still a thing... PD3, came out over the weekend, PvPing with faucet money, was a fun time killer just to see how things are going... Nothing I want to focus on too heavily, but we all know Gambling is a great app for bitcoin, and we (the community) pioneered provably fair gambling. The best part is, the people in the space know who is honest and uses it.
Mining isn't yet extinct for the home miner and the hashrate is GROWING: I know I said that it kinda is above, but I am an at home miner with some S3's scattered about. I do fine, and am well on my way to ROI. I watch the hashrate grow everyday, and that tells me that bullish sentiment sure as hell exists on the long term. I mean, if you are willing to invest in specialized hardware to the tune of millions of dollars, you are in it for the long haul. This market is too illiquid to "cash out" of for the bigger players, so we know they are all hodling. A lot of the ASIC manufacturers are hodling as well, including Bitmain. So maybe the price is taking a dive, but the hashrate hasn't seen negative growth in a LONG LONG time Jan '13 it seems.
User Growth IS Happening: 2 million Blockchain wallets anyone? New wallets and services coming out all the time. Kryptokit, Hive, Mycelium trader, etc. etc. Maybe it isn't happening as fast as we would like, but it is happening. But this isn't like pokemon, you can't just see it on the TV and start catching your bitcoin. For the uninitiated, this shit is CONFUSING. We need to help out. And we need to casually give bitcoin, tipping in other sub-reddits as opposed to gold, helping friends get setup. Just YESTERDAY, someone asked me about coinbase and how to buy it, and I set them up with coinbase, told them about 2FA, and gave them the tools they need to fish. The past couple weeks I've actually gotten a couple people into bitcoin, which is the first time in a couple months, so for whatever reason, interest seems to be picking up again, which is cool.
How I got burnt by Coinbase (transaction sent 3 hours after requested)
Before a long, internation flight, I wanted to pay for food at an airport using Gyft giftcards as I've done before, sending bitcoins from a Coinbase wallet. I go through the standard process of buying anything with bitcoins, when up to the Bitpay invoice page trouble started happening. The invoice page was still "unpaid" after I had sent the required amount, I tried refreshing and then determined that maybe I had forgot to click the send button. I resent from Coinbase, then notice that Coinbase still has not listed the new transaction. I refresh the page and BAM, two transactions of the same amount there. The invoice expired and now I felt like I've screwed up. In a moment of desperation I ordered another card and got hit with the same issue. Keep in mind it was late night and not being hungry at the airport was a top priority for me. What had happened? It was neither Gyft nor Bitpay's fault, they had excellently handled the situation. Bitpay support responded within 2 minutes of my email, and had sorted out the expired invoice within the day. What had happened is Coinbase did not send the transactions instantly. There was a 3 hour difference reported from Coinbase's transaction and the TXID "first seen" timestamp on blockchain.info. It took Coinbase 3 hours to send a transction... TL:DR I spent $100 on $25 worth of giftcards due to inaccuracy of Coinbase's transaction history and after it took 3 hours for a Coinbase transaction to hit the network. Note: Not a miner's fee issue, Bitpay accepts reasonable 0-conf transactions and 3 hour difference between Coinbase reported request time and blockchain.info "first-seen" time is an indication that Coinbase simply hasn't sent out the the TX.
MSI Forum Mod calls us all criminals and terrorists..wtf?
"Bit mining is a very questionable activity. Who knows where the money comes from, much less what the data or the cryptography is actually used for. It is well known for hiding money for both corrupt and terroristic purposes. " This is what the bozo actually said to me. I posted a thread asking about Fan replacements and Aftermarket Coolers for MSI 270x and 280x. My thread was locked after I reported that I was repeatedly harassed by another member in the thread. https://forum-en.msi.com/index.php?topic=177493.0 Me: I bought 4 MSI cards back in Dec, 2x270x and 2x280x. 3 out of 4 of my cards have issues already with regards to fans. Grinding, noisy, and stuck. Yes my system is clean and I've tried canned air on them numerous times. From what I've been reading the fans are just poor quality in general when it comes to heavy users like us miners. Rather than ship these off for RMA which will take 3 months and result in a huge loss mining I'd like to just replace the fans myself. Not concerned about warranty. I'll happily give that up. The cards paid for themselves long ago. Since I can probably buy 10 sets of fans for the cost of shipping the cards back I'd much rather that route :) Can I get the part # for the fans please? Or could someone please point me in the right direction for a similar fan that would fit without any modifications? Alternatively if there are any good 2slot aftermarket coolers that fit these gpus please let me know. Its a shame the fans are so bad on these cards cause they perform extremely well otherwise. MSI pls take note. Another Forum User referencing rules: Don’t…
Ask for help on shady or illegal activities such as password hacking, software piracy or bitcoin/crypto mining ______________________________________________
Mod response after repeat harassment of above forum user: "I'll make this simple. They linked you to technical support. That's all we can do. If you don't want to follow the forum rules you agreed to when you made an account, then that is your choice, but you were warned by them, now you've been warned by me. There are plenty of online retailers that sell aftermarket coolers. A simple Google search or amazon search will yield numerous results. That's as much help as anyone here can provide. With that, I'm closing this flame thread, as we do not support 'mining, bitcoining, or other questionable activities'. The next time I see something like this from you, 6strings, I will be forced to take real action." Threatening me? Now to PMs. Me: Please tell me what rule I broke. I wasn't asking about Bitcoin mining whatsoever. I am asking about the fans on the cards I have, and what aftermarket coolers users may be using. Is this against the rules in anyway? Mod: ou clearly stated in your post what you were using them for. We clearly state in our rules we will not support bit mining in any way. You want new fans? You can either contract MSI for RMAs or find some after market coolers. As I stated, Google will produce some results, as will amazon. Bit mining is a very questionable activity. Who knows where the money comes from, much less what the data or the cryptography is actually used for. It is well known for hiding money for both corrupt and terroristic purposes. While you may not be using it for this purpose, doesn't mean others don't. Which is why this forum follows this stance. Me: I'm sorry you lack a proper understanding of Bitcoin. You are grossly misinformed I'm afraid. I suggest you do some research on the subject. Much has changed and the public perception is not clouded by false judgments anymore. It is widely accepted. Even major Tech retailers like Tigerdirect accept it and sell mining specific equipment. There are sites like Gyft.com where you can buy a gift card for just about any major retailer with bitcoin. Fully legit site supported by those retailers. Banning talk about Bitcoin is no different than banning talk about Paypal or Credit cards at this point in its evolution. I'll be happy to steer you in the right direction. We're good honest hard working folks. There is no "nefarious hashing". Bitcoin itself is open source. See for yourself. Where these crazy notions came from I have no idea but they are completely false and misguided. Its quite sad really. A lot of bright people have missed the boat on something big because of this nonsense. Come visit our communities. bitcointalk.org a good place to start. Take a look around. Ask questions. Or pop into MCXNOW.com and have a chat with us. I'm there often and so are many other good people. We're building a new world here and everyone is invited to be part of it. No need to be so dismissive. The majority of issues with crime and Bitcoin come from hackers or con-artists. This has nothing to do with the coin itself. Much like the early days of Ebay. Ebay wasn't scamming folks but criminals were using Ebay to do so. You see what I mean? If I make a post asking for information on fans or aftermarket cooling solutions are you going to delete it? No mention of mining or bitcoin. Just straight up request for info. Clearly that itself doesn't break any rules. I don't want tech support. I want info from MSI users. Surely MSI won't give me information on aftermarket cooling solutions for their products as that would void warranty and MSI itself will not help a user void their warranty. Even if I give up my warranty voluntarily they won't budge. I've been down that road already. Thus why I am here. Mod: I'm sorry that you can be so deluded. What you want to believe doesn't change the fact that it is still possible. If it's possible, people will do it. If you haven't figured that out in life, I'm sorry for you. Yes, some e-tailers may accept it, and the public view is slowly changing. Unfortunately it doesn't change the fact that you agreed to rules by joining the forum, and then berate users because they inform you of them. They are the rules and if you don't like them, you are welcome to post else where. Lastly, you apparently still haven't gotten it, even after saying this multiple times. You can easily Google for coolers, or look on amazon. They exist. So much ignorance in that misguided buffoon.
Got a carried away with being able to purchase items with BTC...
So, I've managed to burn through a total of 2.9495 BTC in just the past few weeks, between buying gifts for the holidays and new mining hardware... I got carried away with being able to buy things with Bitcoin and almost depleted my BTC balance :P Mining equipment (2.184 BTC): 2x ASICMINER Cubes Holiday Gifts (0.7655 BTC): 0.0442 - amagimetals.com 0.5923 - gyft.com ($525 in Amazon Gift Cards) 0.0641 - gyft.com ($60 in Sephora Gift Cards) 0.0649 - starrily.com (These were bought at all different times, so the BTC values varied between orders) On the bright side, I got some new miners and I've been able to purchase ALL of my gifts for the holiday season using Bitcoin! =D Figured I'd just share my first major experience using Bitcoin!
Cryptsy v. Vircurex: A Primer for Low-Level Miners
So my little DualMiner has been mining away for about a week now, and all appears to be well with it: software works, fan is quieter than my fridge, Coinotron payouts are working, and so on. That got me to thinking: How would I go about using my Dogecoin to buy things? Sure, I could go to treats.io and get some gift cards, but that only goes so far. Let's say, for example, that I wanted to head down to Rise, a donut shop a few blocks from me, and get a couple of maple bacon bars for breakfast. Rise doesn't accept Doge, but it does accept Bitcoin. Maple Bacon Bars are $2.50 each. With tax, it's about $5.38. At current BTC exchange rates, I figure I'll need at least 0.01 BTC in my wallet. So I take my Doge over to Vircurex to exchange it for BTC. It's a 0.2% exchange fee, so I'll need to cover that. I'll also need to cover the 0.002 BTC withdrawl fee. At an exchange rate of 0.000002 BTC per Doge, 5000 Doge = 0.01 BTC, but because of the exchange and withdrawl fees, the actual cost to get that 0.01 BTC is 6012.026 Doge. That's 1012.026 worth of fees -- a 20.24% markup!!! Obviously, because the withdrawl fee is fixed, that markup goes down as the volume goes up. The problem, though, is that I can't really trade in high volumes. I've only got a little DualMiner cranking out 70kH/s, and it takes me 3-4 days to get 1000 Doge out of it. I need a better solution. So I gave Cryptsy a try. The exchange fee is 0.3%, but the withdrawl fee is only 0.0005 BTC! So in order to get out 0.01 BTC at the same exchange rate, I only have to put in 5265.795 Doge -- only a 5.32% markup! Wow! Much savings! So if you're a low-level miner like me, and you need to exchange your Doge for BTC, Crypsty is clearly the way to go. In fact, you can get better deals on Amazon gift cards using Cryptsy and Gyft than you can with treats.io. (Not to knock the Moolah devs, as they're doing good work in helping Dogecoin gain wider acceptance, but at the current exchange rates, we're talking a 1,400 Doge difference for a $10 GC, and I'm not a rich enough shibe to dismiss that.) tl;dr -- For small Doge-to-BTC exchanges, Cryptsy will save you a lot of Doge over Vircurex.
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