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The highlight of the trading terminal OOOBTC is an interactive chart with the support of the main indicators. The exchange supports only market type orders. In addition, there is no margin trading. #Ooobtc #obx #crypto #bitcoin #ethereum #blockchain #btc #toqqn
Ultimate glossary of crypto currency terms, acronyms and abbreviations
For Trading October 28th MSFT BEATS, HOG RIDES HIGHER CAT, MMM, PFE & LLY DISAPPOINT COVID, COVID, COVID! Today’s market was a split affair right from the pre-market through to the late markets. The DJIA was down on the beat on dramatically lowered expectations for CAT (a “not as bad” loss) and MMM. Both actually were even lower at the close than they were pre-market. The DJIA finished 1222.19 (.60%) while the NASDAQ was +72.44 (.64%), and S&P 500 -10.29 (.30%), the Russell -14.50 (.90%) and the biggest loser, the DJ Transports -173.21 (1.49%). Market internals were 2:1 down at the NYSE and only slightly better on the NAZ at 5:3 lower. The volume was very light, even considering the time of year. The DJIA was 23 down and 7 higher with the big winner, one we own, CRM, adding 55 DP’s and the losers GS -38, BA -37, CAT & MMM -34 DP’s. Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows you to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. Last week’s interview with Joe Moscato, CEO of GNBT is available today at https://youtu.be/rJBtqC75g3A It’s a great story and this stock (I believe) won’t stay at these levels once there is a wider understanding of what this company actually has going for it!! Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/8kbt4YIVlZU SECTORS: Earnings was the big mover today for CAT, MMM, PFE and this evening MSFT. As I mentioned above, CAT was a loss, but not as bad as feared and the stock started early trading -3.76, but got weaker all day and finished $157.91 -5.29 (3.2%), MMM was a beat, but was -2.16 early but finished $161.04 -5.12 (3.1%). PFE finished $37.42 -.50 (1.3%). MSFT beat on all metrics with better numbers as well as margins. Their Chromebook numbers were up, MSFT 365 was up and both the Cloud and Gaming businesses were higher. The call hasn’t started yet but the stock had closed $213.25 +3.17 (the recent move was from $196 to 225 since late September) and the stock fell to 211, rallied up to $216, and since has sold off to the $210 area. The biggest mover by far was Harley Davidson (HOG) which came in with a major surprise and after closing $29.00 -1.07 Monday was up to $32.70 pre-market, opened $32.37 and flew up to $37.20 and finished $35.40 +6.40 (22.7%). The move was the best day in the history for the company! New Group: AIR & CRUISE LINES were LOWER with CCL -.30, RCL -1.24, NCLH -.30, AAL -.61, DAL -1.36, LUV -1.34, UAL -1.26, HA -.39, ALK -1.23 and I’ve switched to JETS as a more representative ETF for the group which finished the day $17.15 -.63 (3.54%). FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was MIXED with TSN +.21, BGS +.85, FLO +.05, CPB -.05, CAG -.59, MDLZ -.42, KHC +.08, CALM -.10, JJSF +.10, SAFM +2.71, HRL +.58, SJM -2.00, PPC +.,04, KR -.83, and a new addition ACI +.+.09, and PBJ $33.72 -.03 (.08%). BIO-PHARMA: was LOWER with BIIB -1.46, ABBV -1.37, REGN -5.85, ISRG +9.13, GILD -.12, MYL -.59, TEVA -.38, VRTX +5.04, BHC -.09, INCY -209, ICPT +.08, LABU +1.69, and IBB $135.87 +.76 (.56%). CANNABIS: was MIXED with TLRY -.27, CGC +.09, CRON +.04, GWPH -1.38, ACB -.37, CURLF +.03, KERN -.64, and MJ $11.04 -.05 (.45%). DEFENSE was LOWER with LMT -7.55, GD -3.91, TXT -1.06, NOC -8.36, BWXT -.63, TDY -11.02, RTX -4.16, and ITA $155.39 -5.04 (3.14%). RETAIL: was LOWER with M -.35, JWN -.62, KSS -.85, DDS -1.52, WMT +.10, TGT -.94, TJX -1.01, RL -2.33, UAA -.26, LULU +2.21, TPR +.15, CPRI +.28, and a new addition GPS -.35, and XRT $53.84 -.21 (.40%). MEGA-CAP & FAANG were HIGHER with GOOGL +10.70, AMZN +64.96, AAPL +1.03, FB +5.29, NFLX -2.74, NVDA +7.10, TSLA -1.95, BABA +9.33, BIDU +.85, CMG -11.73, CRM +7.40, BA -6.56, CAT -5.60, DIS -1.29 and XLK $115.78 -.09 (-.08%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES. FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -5.99, JPM -2.43, BAC -.77, MS -1.92, C 1.58, PNC -2.44, AIG -.14, TRV -2.45, V -3.27, and XLF $24.12 -.56 (2.27%). OIL, $39.57 +1.01, Oil has been locked into the current range and tried to break in either direction without success. Last week I said, “While I think it may resolve to the downside, I am not taking any new positions.” The stocks were lower today even though there has been a pickup in M&A activity in the group. XLE finished $28.75 -.55 (1.88%). GOLD $1,911.90 + 6.20 opened LOWER and managed to rally while the market for stocks sold off. There were several “unusual options action” looking for another 10-12% on the upside before year end. BITCOIN: closed $13,685 +6.40 After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and 250 today @$14.19, and we closed out the final 250 @ $15.44. GBTC closed $15.63 +1.25 today. Tomorrow is another day. CAM
For Trading October 23rd ALGN BEAT, INTC MISS GILD GETS FIRST FDA APPROVAL CLAIMS NUMBERS IMPROVE Today’s market was another back and forth. By the day’s end we were +152.84 (.54%), NASDAQ +21.32 (.19%), S&P 500 +17.93 (.52%), the Russell was the big winner +16.48 (1.65%) and DJ Transports +23.53 (.20%) with market internals 2:1 on the NYSE while NASDAQ was 1.7:1. Volume was just average. BA was the biggest winner adding 34 DP’s while BRM was the loser -30 DPs. The biggest news was the claims numbers with Initial claims falling below 800K to 787,000 and continuing fell to 8,373,000. While it didn’t do much for the preopen futures, it pared over $25.00 off Gold. Earnings got mixed reviews and I’ll go into that in the sector section below. #TERMLIMITS. Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows you to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!! Yesterday’s interview with Joe Moscato, CEO of GNBT is available today at https://youtu.be/rJBtqC75g3A It’s a great story and this stock (I believe) won’t stay at these levels once there is a wider understanding of what this company actually has going for it!! Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/b1waAGacxkY SECTORS: Earnings were the big movers again today with some big names putting out some big numbers. Unfortunately, a beat wasn’t a free ride to an up day. Cases in point were CTXS with a beat but fell to $126.00 -10.56 (7.6%) and TSCO finishing the day $137.85 -11.27 (7.5%). KMB was a split, beating revenues but missing on earnings and it was $138.79 -9.59 (6.46%), and INTC was a disappointment on several metrics with margins falling again to close $48.85 -4.65 (8.7%). Last quarter we had the same situation when it gapped down after the disappointment from $60.40 to finish $50.59 -9.81 and then continued lower for a week to settle just under $47.00. But the BIGGEST winner was ALGN, with a major beat and a gap to the upside after a close yesterday of $336.52 it finished the day $454.40 +118.40 (35%). The gap took the stock to a new all-time high by almost $60.00. New Group: AIR & CRUISE LINES were HIGHER with CCL +.70, RCL +2.71, NCLH +.70, AAL +.38, DAL +2.10, LUV +2.04, UAL +1.63, HA +2.53, ALK +.91, and XTN $62.62 +1.59 (2.6%). FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was HIGHER with TSN +.53, BGS +.08, FLO +.03, CPB +.25, CAG +.26, MDLZ unchanged, KHC +.01, CALM +.81, JJSF +3.41, SAFM +4.21, HRL +.06, SJM +2.07, PPC +.23, KR -.63 and a new addition ACI -.18, and PBJ $34.15 +.02 (.07%). BIO-PHARMA: was HIGHER with BIIB -2.11, ABBV +1.65, REGN +5.60, ISRG +4.46, GILD +4.77, MYL +.61, TEVA unchanged, VRTX -1.30, BHC +.29, INCY +1.89, ICPT -.25, LABU +4.70, and IBB $136.78 +2.59 (1.93%). CANNABIS: was HIGHER with TLRY +.35, CGC +.76, CRON +.19, GWPH +.67, ACB -.03, CURLF -.07, KERN -.13, and MJ $11.63 +.20 (1.75%). DEFENSE was HIGHER with LMT -+2.68, GD +2.81, TXT +.33, NOC -4.38, BWXT +1.49, TDY +8.24, RTX +2.45, and ITA $164.01 +3.22 (2.01%). RETAIL: was HIGHER with M +.48, JWN +1.12, KSS +1.14, DDS +1.47, WMT -.79, TGT -3.56, TJX +1.17, RL +2.10, and a new addition GPS +2.88, and XRT $53.95 +.51 (.95%). MEGA-CAP & FAANG were LOWER with GOOGL +20.67, AMZN -1.16, AAPL -.77, FB -.22, NFLX -4.62, NVDA -4.99, TSLA +3.86, BABA -1.37, BIDU -1.92, CMG -61.16, CRM -3.88, BA +5.14, CAT +2.60, DIS +1.02 and XLK $118.57 -.56 (.47%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES. FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS +3.08, JPM +3.83, BAC +.93, MS +1.62, C +1.08, PNC +4.68, AIG +.34, TRV +1.32, V unchanged, and XLF $25.17 +.49 (1.99%). OIL, $40.64 +.61, Oil has been locked into the current range and tried to break in either direction without success. Last night I said, “While I think it may resolve to the downside, I am not taking any new positions.” The stocks were lower today and there has been a pickup in M&A activity in the group. XLE finished $30.54 +1.21 (4.13%). GOLD $1,906.50 -24.90 opened HIGHER and made a higher into the falling 50-day MA and a higher low, closing near the highs of the day. There were several “unusual options action” looking for another 10-12% on the upside before year end. BITCOIN: closed $13,155 +400. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and 250 today @$14.19, and we still have 250 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $14.63 +.33 today. Tomorrow is another day. CAM
For Trading October 7th Reversal by Tweet “No Deal Until After I’m Re-elected” Today’s market was split early with the DJIA higher and the NASDAQ lower. It made some headway all day, never quite catching up, and then after “THE TWEET” we reversed hard and the DJIA finished -375.88 (1.34%), NASDAQ -177.88 (1.57%), S&P 500 -47.68 (1.4%), the Russell held better only down 4.67 (.30%) and Transports -82.85 (.72%). My guess is that the president’s misdirection play will be reversed when it politically suits him, and the market will rally again as he tries everything in the book, except of course, actual action, to get that second term. Market internals were negative, but not terrible with NYSE just 4:3 down and the NASDAQ 10:7, with all but 3 DJIA stocks lower. BA was the leader on the downside trimming 77 DP’s off the index and PG and DD, lower by less than $1, and CSCO unchanged. Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows you to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!! TUESDAY’S RADIO SHOW: https://youtu.be/dJGunoIqLZU v With my guest: David Weinstein on Bio-Hacking !! Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/vBwoKu3apTI SECTORS: There was some good news for LEVI. The estimates were for a loss of $ .22/share and when they reported a profit of $ .08, increased margins and 52% growth in Ecommerce the stock took off. The last 10 days had the stock moving higher from $11.91 to today’s high of $15.27 before closing a bit lower at $14.74. In extended hours, the stock hit $16.78 and is currently $16.20 +1.19 (7.86%). The news for Social Capital’s SPAC III (IPOC) was evidently a disappointment. Chalmath Palihapitiya gave the story on CNBC before the open and the stock did nothing but head south. It closed $10.95- 1.73 (13.64%), but the big surprise to me was that Social Capital II also fell, closing $17.49 -2.22 (11.26%) and it has a completely different merger going on in the real estate business. Defies logic, but since we’re in both, I’m staying long. And the HOME RUN of the Day, PPSI, Pioneer Power Solutions, a little know company with the only recent news was a Form 4 (insider buying) filed in August for a purchase 1,000 shares of the stock at an average price of $1.40. The stock was trading $2.91 +1.34 pre-market (86%) and at the end of the day it was $5.83 +4.28 (273%) and in late trading it hit $9.43 and closed $6.20 +4.63 (294.9%). Quite a day for a stock with no news!! New Group: AIR & CRUISE LINES were MIXED with the cruise lines up and the airlines lower. CCL +.29, RCL +.81, NCLH +.36, AAL -.68, DAL -1.14, LUV -1.15, UAL -1.49, HA -.36, ALK -1.57, and XTN $59.35 -.72 (1.21%). FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was LOWER with TSN -.50, BGS -.22, FLO -.29, CPB -.39, CAG -.45, MDLZ –1.04, KHC -.24, CALM +.30, -.14 (.4%). BIOPHARMA was LOWER with BIIB -3.03, ABBV -2.15, REGN -24.08, ISRG -8.68, GILD -1.10, MYL -.29, TEVA -.11, VRTX -7.98, BHC -.82, INCY -3.70, ICPT -2.03, LABU -1.53, and IBB $137.88 -1.69 (1.21%). CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.46, CGC -.59, CRON -.,19, GWPH +1.45, ACB -.18, CURLF -.13, KERN -.07 and MJ $10.53 -.30 (2.77%). DEFENSE was LOWER with LMT -7.62, GD -.42, TXT -.68, NOC -3.21, BWXT -1.18, TDY -.65, RTX -1.06, and ITA $159.19 -2.99 (1.84%). RETAIL: was LOWER with M -.24, JWN -.46, KSS -1.01, DDS +.64, WMT -1.35, TGT -1.70, TJX -1.19, RL -2.54, UAA -.49, LULU -9.75, TPR -.06, CPRI -.28, and XRT $51.76 -1.01 (1.91%). MEGA-CAPS & FAANG were LOWER with GOOGL -40.83, AMZN -101.20, AAPL -3.30, FB -7.87, NFLX -16.28, NVDA +6.30, TSLA -12.46, BABA +3.53, BIDU +.13, CMG +3.34, CRM -1.64, BA -11.20, CAT -2.04, DIS -2,34, and XLK $115.64 -1.82 (1.55%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES. FINANCIALS were LOWER with interest rates, with GS -1.02, JPM -.94, BAC -.21, MS -.87, C -.51, PNC -2.72, AIG -.07, TRV -.38, V -2.77, and XLF $24.45 -.25 (1.01%). OIL, $40.67 +1.45, Oil was near recent highs and sold off hard Friday touching $37.61 (down about 6%) before mounting a rally back to close +2.17. The stocks were LOWER with XLE $29.74 -.45 (1.49%). GOLD $1,908.80 -11.30, opened HIGHER and made a slightly higher high and a higher low, closing near the highs of the day. There were several “unusual options action” looking for another 10-12% on the upside before year end. BITCOIN: closed $10,630 -185. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $10.85 -.43 today. Tomorrow is another day. CAM
Wandering From the Path? | Monthly Portfolio Update - August 2020
Midway along the journey of our lifeI woke to find myself in a dark wood,for I had wandered off from the straight path. Dante, The Divine Comedy: Inferno, Canto I This is my forty-fifth portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal. Portfolio goal My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars). This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent. Portfolio summary
Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund $733 769
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund $41 794
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund $78 533
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund $110 771
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) $216 758
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) $64 542
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) $237 138
Telstra shares (TLS) $1 540
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) $6 043
NIB Holdings shares (NHF) $5 532
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX) $121 976
Secured physical gold $19 535
Ratesetter (P2P lending) $8 998
Bitcoin $177 310
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) $17 421
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) $2 759
BrickX (P2P rental real estate) $4 477
Total portfolio value $1 848 896 (+$48 777 or 2.7%) Asset allocation
Australian shares 41.5%
Global shares 22.6%
Emerging market shares 2.2%
International small companies 2.8%
Total international shares 27.6%
Total shares 69.2% (5.8% under)
Total property securities 0.2% (0.2% over)
Australian bonds 4.4%
International bonds 8.9%
Total bonds 13.3% (1.7% under)
Gold and alternatives 17.2% (7.2% over)
Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio. [Chart] Comments The portfolio has increased in value for the fifth consecutive month, and is starting to approach the monthly value last reached in January. The portfolio has grown over $48 000, or 2.7 per cent this month, reflecting the strong market recovery since late March [Chart] The growth in the portfolio was broadly-based across global and Australian equities, with an increase of around 3.8 per cent. Following strong previous rises, gold holdings decreased by around 2.2 per cent, while Bitcoin continued to increase in value (by 2.5 per cent). Combined, the value of gold and Bitcoin holdings remain at a new peak, while total equity holdings are still below their late January peak to the tune of around $50 000. The fixed income holdings of the portfolio continue to fall below the target allocation. [Chart] The expanding value of gold and Bitcoin holdings since January last year have actually had the practical effect of driving new investments into equities, since effectively for each dollar of appreciation, for example, my target allocation to equities rises by seven dollars. New investments this month have been in the Vanguard international shares exchange-traded fund (VGS) and the Australian shares equivalent (VAS). These have been directed to bring my actual asset allocation more closely in line with the target split between Australian and global shares set out in the portfolio plan. As the exchange traded funds such as VGS, VAS and Betashares A200 now make up nearly 30 per cent of the overall portfolio, the quarterly payments they provide have increased in magnitude and importance. Early in the journey, third quarter distributions were essentially immaterial events. Using the same 'median per unit' forecast approach as recently used for half yearly forecasts would suggest a third quarter payout due at the end of September of around $6000. Due to significant announced dividend reductions across this year I am, however, currently assuming this is likely to be significantly lower, and perhaps in the vicinity of $4000 or less. Finding true north: approach to achieving a set asset allocation One of the choices facing all investors with a preferred asset allocation is how strictly the target is applied over time, and what variability is acceptable around that. There is a significant body of financial literature around that issue. My own approach has been to seek to target the preferred asset allocation dynamically, through buying the asset class that is furthest from its target, with new portfolio contributions, and re-investment of paid out distributions. As part of monitoring asset allocation, I also track a measure of 'absolute' variance, to understand at a whole of portfolio level how far it is from the desired allocation. This is the sum of the absolute value of variances (e.g. so that being 3 per cent under target in shares, and 7 per cent over target in fixed interest will equal an absolute variance of 10 per cent under this measure). This measure is currently sitting near its highest level in around 2 years, at 15.0 per cent, as can be seen in the chart below. [Chart] The dominant reason for this higher level of variance from target is significant appreciation in the price of gold and Bitcoin holdings. Mapping the sources of portfolio variances Changes in target allocations in the past makes direct comparisons problematic, but previous peaks of the variance measure matches almost perfectly past Bitcoin price movements. For a brief period in January 2018, gold and Bitcoin combined constituted 20 per cent, or 1 in 5 dollars of the entire portfolio. Due to the growth in other equity components of the portfolio since this level has not been subsequently exceeded. Nonetheless, it is instructive to understand that the dollar value of combined gold and Bitcoin holdings is actually up around $40 000 from that brief peak. With the larger portfolio, this now means they together make up 17.2 per cent of the total portfolio value. Tacking into the wind of portfolio movements? The logical question to fall out from this situation is: to what extent should this drive an active choice to sell down gold and Bitcoin until they resume their 10 per cent target allocation? This would currently imply selling around $130 000 of gold or Bitcoin, and generating a capital gains tax liability of potentially up to $27 000. Needless to say this is not an attractive proposition. Several other considerations lead me to not make this choice:
The problem may solve itself as portfolio grows - Growth and continued investments in the portfolio will tend to reduce the variance caused by gold and Bitcoin. The asset allocation targeting approach I adopt has seen continued contributions to equities, reducing the ability of these alternative assets to add to future variance.
Falls in Bitcoin or gold values will also solve the problem - Conversely, price falls in Bitcoin or gold will tend to reduce the variance issue, and such price falls have significant precedents, with for example Bitcoin holdings falling to a value of around $50 000 as recently as January 2019.
If neither of these happen, there may be bigger issues to solve - The only scenario where neither of these alleviating factors occur is should gold and Bitcoin continue to rapidly appreciate compared to other assets, in which case it is difficult to see the value of reducing exposure now.
Does Bitcoin even fit the asset allocation model? - Bitcoin in particular is not a well established or accepted asset class as yet, so it may not be appropriate to apply traditional allocation rules to it - it may be functioning more as a hedge or option against extreme states of the world. Linked to this is the high degree of volatility in Bitcoin. Adopting too tight a target on Bitcoin holdings would potentially see a need to buy and sell Bitcoin frequently, where my intention is to actually never purchase any more.
This approach is a departure from a mechanistic implementation of an asset allocation rule. Rather, the approach I take is pragmatic. Tracking course drift in the portfolio components As an example, I regularly review whether a significant fall in Bitcoin prices to its recent lows would alter my monthly decision on where to direct new investments. So far it does not, and the 'signal' continues to be to buy new equities. Another tool I use is a monthly measurement of the absolute dollar variance of Australian and global shares, as well as fixed interest, from their ideal target allocations. The chart below sets this out for the period since January 2019. A positive value effectively represents an over-allocation to a sector, a negative value, an under-allocation compared to target. [Chart] This reinforces the overall story that, as gold and Bitcoin have grown in value, there emerges a larger 'deficit' to the target. Falls in equities markets across February and March also produce visibly larger 'dollar gaps' to the target allocation. This graph enables a tracking of the impact of portfolio gains or losses, and volatility, and a better understanding of the practical task of returning to target allocations. Runaway lines in either direction would be evidence that current approaches for returning to targets were unworkable, but so far this does not appear to be the case. A crossing over: a credit card FI milestone This month has seen a long awaited milestone reached. Calculated on a past three year average, portfolio distributions now entirely meet monthly credit card expenses. This means that every credit card purchase - each shopping trip or online purchase - is effectively paid for by average portfolio distributions. At the start of this journey, distributions were only equivalent to around 40 per cent of credit card expenses. As time has progressed distributions have increased to cover a larger and larger proportion of card expenses. [Chart] Most recently, with COVID-19 related restrictions having pushed card expenditure down further, the remaining gap to this 'Credit Card FI' target has closed. Looked at on an un-smoothed basis, expenditures on the credit card have continued to be slightly lower than average across the past month. The below chart details the extent to which portfolio distributions (red) cover estimated total expenses (green), measured month to month. [Chart] Credit card expenditure makes up around 80 per cent of total spending, so this is not a milestone that makes paid work irrelevant or optional. Similarly, if spending rises as various travel and other restrictions ease, it is possible that this position could be temporary. Equally, should distributions fall dramatically below long term averages in the year ahead, this could result in average distributions falling faster than average monthly card expenditure. Even without this, on a three year average basis, monthly distributions will decline as high distributions received in the second half of 2017 slowly fall out of the estimation sample. For the moment, however, a slim margin exists. Distributions are $13 per month above average monthly credit card bills. This feels like a substantial achievement to note, as one unlooked for at the outset of the journey. Progress Progress against the objective, and the additional measures I have reached is set out below. Measure Portfolio All Assets Portfolio objective – $2 180 000 (or $87 000 pa) 84.8% 114.6% Credit card purchases – $71 000 pa 103.5% 139.9% Total expenses – $89 000 pa 82.9% 112.1% Summary What feels like a long winter is just passed. The cold days and weeks have felt repetitive and dominated by a pervasive sense of uncertainty. Yet through this time, this wandering off, the portfolio has moved quite steadily back towards it previous highs. That it is even approaching them in the course of just a few months is unexpected. What this obscures is the different components of growth driving this outcome. The portfolio that is recovering, like the index it follows, is changing in its underlying composition. This can be seen most starkly in the high levels of variance from the target portfolio sought discussed above. It is equally true, however, of individual components such as international equity holdings. In the case of the United States the overall index performance has been driven by share price growth in just a few information technology giants. Gold and Bitcoin have emerged from the shadows of the portfolio to an unintended leading role in portfolio growth since early 2019. This month I have enjoyed reading the Chapter by Chapter release of the Aussie FIRE e-book coordinated by Pearler. I've also been reading posts from some newer Australian financial independence bloggers, Two to Fire, FIRE Down Under, and Chasing FIRE Down Under. In podcasts, I have enjoyed the Mad Fientist's update on his fourth year of financial freedom, and Pat and Dave's FIRE and Chill episodes, including an excellent one on market timing fallacies. The ASX Australian Investor Study 2020 has also been released - setting out some broader trends in recent Australian investment markets, and containing a snapshot of the holdings, approaches and views of everyday investors. This contained many intriguing findings, such as the median investment portfolio ($130 000), its most frequent components (direct Australian shares), and how frequently portfolios are usually checked - with 61 per cent of investors checking their portfolios at least once a month. This is my own approach also. Monthly assessments allow me to gauge and reflect on how I or elements of the portfolio may have wandered off the straight way in the middle of the journey. Without this, the risk is that dark woods and bent pathways beckon. The post, links and full charts can be seen here.
For Trading JULY 8th JOLTs 5.4 vs. 5 Million NVAX gets $1.6B from BARDA Today’s market got off to a very soft start in the DJIA but not so much in the NASDAQ and S&P-500, with the DJIA starting off -240 and managing a rally only as far as -125 before spending several hours going sideways until the last hour of trading when the NASDAQ and S&P ran out of steam and fell below the close and the selloff resumed. It’s never a good thing when and overbought index makes a new all-time high and then closes down and on the lows. The DJIA was -396.85 (1.51%), NASDAQ -89.76 (.86%), S&P 500 -34.30 (1.08%), the Russell -26.89 (1.86%) and the DJ Transports -108 (1.1%). The internals were 3:1 down on NYSE and 2.5:1 on NASDAQ with volume on the NYSE 2:1 down also. The DJIA was 28 down and only 2 up with WMT the big gainer +55 DP’s and on the downside, BA-62, GS -55, and UNH -43DP’s. Even with the good JOLTs number, this market is just over-extended and tired. The stat I mentioned in tonight’s video about the S&P is very telling, I think, with the S&P only 2% off its high, the median S&P stock is down 11%. This market has simply gotten too narrow and it will correct. We sold half of the remaining NEM 7/17 $60’s bought @ 1.55 and added to last Friday @ $1.30 for an average of $1.47 triggered a 100% Up Rule sale at $2.94, and today’s sale was @ $3.20. They closed today $3.20. We also own a position in SLV 8/21 17 calls @ $ .74, and they closed $ .75, and we also added a spread using the NEM 8/65 / 70 calls at a $1.30 debit. Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/5afUNy48sFI Our Discord Forum link is on the video description.. SECTORS: The FAANG names all finished near the lows, several like MSFT coming off a new all-time high and closing down on the day. Not a good sign if they follow-thru to the downside tomorrow. Also having trouble was CCL, who has had to cancel several cruises for Q4 and Q1 2021. It closed $14.57 -1.04 (6.7%). Add to that, the UAL report that it is giving warnings that it will be laying off “10’2 of thousands of employees.” UAL finished $32.55 -2.66 (7.55%). These two companies do not operate in a vacuum, so both groups are in jeopardy, again. Novavax (NVAX) got a $1.6billion grant from BARDA (Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority) to help it along in it’s search for a workable vaccine. The stock, up from $8 as late as the end of February had worked its way up to $85 last month and opened today $104 and traded as high as $111.77 and finished $104.56 +25.12 (31.63%). Don’t get too crazy with this one, this is not its first rodeo. In 2015 it was trading $300 before it had a failure on a different vaccine and the stock fell to $80 before a rally and then in the week of 9/16/2016 it fell further from $169.80 to $23.20 and then on to the adjusted (1:20 reverse) low around $4.00. We’ll hope for a better outcome this time around. Walmart was the big winner on a RECODE that said they are ready to launch Walmart +, to compete with Amazon Prime for same day grocery delivery and next day for other products. Its move today added 55 DP’s to the averages. I don’t think it’s a big deal since for the same money, with Prime you get streaming too. And the margins on groceries are razor thin. FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was MIXED with TSN -.67, BGS +.70, FLO -.03, CPB -.11, CAG +.54, MDLZ -.22, KHC +.22, CALM +.03, JJSF -1.43, SAFM +.54, HRL -.14, SJM +.18, PPC -.34, KR -.03, and PBJ $31.56 +.06 (.19%). BIOPHARMA was MIXED with BIIB - -1.72, ABBV +.72, REGN +14.50, ISRG -9.30, GILD -.13, MYL -.43, TEVA -.29, VRTX +8.35, BHC -.59, INCY +.86, ICPT -.74, LABU +3.36, and IBB $140.15 +.71 (.51%). CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.13, CGC -.40, CRON -.19, GWPH +2.93, ACB +.17, CURLF -.07, KERN -.62 and MJ $13.08 -.01 (.08%). DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -8.59, GD -3.29, TXT -1.73, NOC -7.89, BWXT -1.78, TDY – 7.84, RTX -2.12 and ITA $160.32 -6.10 (3.67%). RETAIL: was LOWER with M +.03, JWN -.58, KSS -.72, DDS -.88, WMT +9.11 (7.66%), TGT -1.40, TJX -1.84, RL -2.49, UAA -.41, LULU -6.66, TPR -.51, CPRI -.18 and XRT $43.78 -.43 (.97%). FAANG and Big Cap: were MIXED with GOOGL -7.40, AMZN -44.69, AAPL +1.06, FB -.91, NFLX +.69, NVDA +3.06, TSLA +9.42, BABA -2.60, BIDU -4.54, CMG -10.92, CAT -2.03, BA -8.57, DIS -.53 and XLK $106.34 -.77 (.72%). FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS – 7.91, JPM2.52, BAC -.63, MS -1.32, C -1.53, PNC -3.15, AIG -1.36, TRV -2.45, AXP -3.48, V -3.13, and XLF $22.93 -.48 (2.05%). OIL, $40.62 -.01. Oil was lower in last night’s trading before we rallied in the morning. I mentioned in last night’s charts with comments section in the Weekly Strategies letter, prices are trying to work higher towards $45.00. We needed a close over the previous high close of $40.83 and while we were there, we sold off to close below that number. The stocks were higher with XLE $36.26 -1.19 (3.18%). GOLD $1,809.80 +16.40. It was a continuation rally and a new recovery high OF $1807.70 Last night I said “we’ve moved $50 since the low on Friday and while the trend and momentum are positive, we may have to test 1790 to consolidate our gains.” Unfortunately, we pulled back to 1,767 instead. We rallied a bit and finished only slightly better. We bought back the 3rd and final lot of NEM @ $58.86. And, we also added a half position in NEM 7/17 60 calls @ $1.55, and additional 50% @ $1.30 on Friday. We sold half on the 100% Up Rule @ $2.94 and half of what was left today @ $3.20, we closed $3.20 + .80 today. BITCOIN: closed $9,290 -65. After trading back to 8985 we rallied back to close – only $5. Since last week we have closed between 9200 – 92.85 every day with narrow ranges and today was a good start to move higher. A break over 10,000 still sends us higher. We added 350 shares of GBTC @ $10.02 to our position of 400 @ $8.06, bringing our average price to $8.97. GBTC closed $9.76 - .19 today. Tomorrow is another day. CAM
The fee schedule below provides the applicable rate based on the account's 30-Day Volume and if the order is a maker or taker. Bittrex Global Fee30 Day Volume (USD)MakerTaker$0k - $50k0.2%0.2%$50k - $1M0.12%0.18%$1M - $10M0.05%0.15%$10M - $60M0.02%0.1%$60M+0%0.08%>$100MContact TAM representative Trading expenses are incurred when an order is prepared by means of the Bittrex worldwide matching engine. While an order is being executed, the purchaser and the vendor are charged a rate primarily based on the order’s amount. The fee charged by Bittrex exchange is calculated by the formula amount * buy rate * fee. There aren't any charges for placing an order which is not being executed so far. Any portion of an unfinished order will be refunded completely upon order cancelation. Prices vary depending on the currency pair, monthly trade volume, and whether the order is a maker or taker. Bittrex reserves the right to alternate fee quotes at any time, including offering various discounts and incentive packages.
Your buying and selling volume affects the fee you pay for every order. Our expenses are built to encourage customers who ensure liquidity in the Bittrex crypto exchange markets. Your buying and selling charges are reduced according to your trade volume for the last 30 years in dollars. Bittrex calculates the 30-day value every day, updating every account's volume calculation and buying and selling charge between of 12:30 AM UTC and 01:30 AM UTC every day. You can check your monthly trade volume by logging in and opening Account > My Activity. https://preview.redd.it/n1djh2ob4zh51.jpg?width=974&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2eebb9c9ac63de207c4dd2e49bc45aeb53a8dec8
6. Withdrawing Funds
Withdrawing any type of funds is likewise simple. You can profit by buying and selling Bitcoin, Ether, or any other cryptocurrency. You determine the crypto address—to which the amount will be credited—and the transaction amount. The withdrawal fee will be automatically calculated and shown right away. After confirming the transaction, the finances will be sent to the specified addresses and all that you need to do is to wait for the community to confirm the transaction. If the 2FA is enabled, then the user receives a special code (via SMS or application) to confirm the withdrawal.
7. How to Trade on Bittrex Global
Currency selling and buying transactions are performed using the Sell and Buy buttons, accordingly. To begin with, the dealer selects a currency pair and sees a graph of the rate dynamics and different values for the pair. Below the chart, there is a section with orders where the user can buy or sell a virtual asset. To create an order, you just need to specify the order type, price, and quantity. And do not forget about the 0.25% trade fee whatever the quantity. For optimum profit, stay with liquid assets as they can be quickly sold at a near-market rate effective at the time of the transaction. Bittrex offers no referral program; so buying and selling crypto is the easiest way to earn. https://preview.redd.it/hopm6fih4zh51.jpg?width=1302&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=68c0aaae86f64c3e6b9d351c3df2a9c331f94038
Bittrex helps you alternate Limit and Stop-Limit orders. A limit order or a simple limit order is performed when the asset fee reaches—or even exceeds—the price the trader seeks. To execute such an order, it is required that there's a counter market order on the platform that has the identical fee as the limit order.
Differences between Limit Order and Stop Limit Order
A stop limit order is a mixture of a stop limit order and a limit order. In such an application, charges are indicated—a stop charge and the limit.
Let’s discuss how you could trade conveniently with our service. The key features include a user-friendly interface and precise currency pair statistics (timeframe graphs, network data, trade volumes, and so forth). The platform’s top-notch advantage is handy, easy-to-analyze, customizable charts. There is also a column for quick switching between currency pairs and an order panel beneath the fee chart. Such an all-encompassing visual solution helps compare orders efficiently and in one place. You can use the terminal in a day or night mode; when in the night mode, the icon in the upper-right corner changes and notice the Bittrex trading terminal in night mode is displayed. The main menu consists of 4 sections: Markets, Orders, Wallets, Settings. Markets are the trade section. Bittrex allows handling over 270 currency pairs. Orders. To see all open orders, go to Orders → Open. To see completed orders, go to Orders → Completed. Wallets. The Wallets tab displays many wallets for all cryptocurrencies supported by the exchange and the current balance of each of them. After refilling the balance or creating a buy or sale order, you will see all actions in the section. Bittrex allows creating a separate wallet for every coin. Additionally, you can see how the coin price has changed, in terms of percentage, throughout the day. Here’s what you can also do with your wallets:
Hide zero balances: hide currencies with zero balance
Green and red arrows: replenish balance/withdraw funds
Find: search for a cryptocurrency
The Settings section helps manage your account, verification, 2FA, password modification, API connection, and many more.
How to Sell
The process of selling crypto assets follows the same algorithm. The only difference is that after choosing the exchange direction, you need to initiate a Sell order. All the rest is similar: you select the order type, specify the quantity and price, and click Sell *Currency Name* (Sell Bitcoin in our case). If you scroll the screen, the entire history of trades and orders will be displayed below.
LONG and SHORT
You can make a long deal or a short deal. Your choice depends on whether you expect an asset to fall or rise in price. Long positions are a classic trading method. It concerns purchasing an asset to profit when its value increases. Long positions are carried out through any brokers and do not require a margin account. In this case, the trader’s account must have enough funds to cover the transaction. Losses in a long position are considered to be limited; no matter when the trade starts, the price will not fall below zero with all possible errors. Short positions, in contrast, are used to profit from a falling market. A trader buys a financial instrument from a broker and sells it. After the price reaches the target level, the trader buys back the assets or buys them to pay off the initial debt to the broker. A short position yields profit if the price falls, and it is considered unprofitable the price matches the asset value. Performing a short order requires a margin account as a trader borrows valuable assets from a broker to complete a transaction. Long transactions help gain from market growth; short from a market decline.
Trade via API
Bittrex also supports algorithmic trading through extensive APIs (application programming interface), which allows you to automate the trading process using third-party services. To create an API key, the user must enable the two-factor authentication 2FA, verify their account, and log in to the site within 3 minutes. If all the requirements of the system are fulfilled, you can proceed to generate the API key. Log in to your Bittrex account, click Settings. Find API Keys. Click Add new key (Create a new key). Toggle on / off settings for READ INFO, TRADE, or WITHDRAW, depending on what functionality you want to use for our API key. Click Save and enter the 2FA code from the authenticator → Confirm. The secret key will be displayed only once and will disappear after the page is refreshed. Make sure you saved it! To delete an API key, click X in the right corner for the key that you want to delete, then click Save, enter the 2FA code from the authenticator and click Confirm.
Bittrex Bot, a Trader’s Assistant
Robotized programs that appeared sometimes after the appearance of cryptocurrency exchanges save users from monotonous work and allow automating the trading process. Bots for trading digital money work like all the other bots: they perform mechanical trading according to the preset parameters. Currently, one of Bittrex’s most popular trading bots is Bittrex Flash Crash Buyer Bot that helps traders profit from altcoin volatility without missing the right moment. The program monitors all the market changes in the market every second; also, it even can place an order in advance. The Bittrex bot can handle a stop loss—to sell a certain amount of currency when the rate changes in a favorable direction and reaches a certain level.
8. Secure Platform
Bittrex Global employs the most reliable and effective security technologies available. There are many cases of theft, fraud. It is no coincidence that the currency is compared to the Wild West, especially if we compare the 1800s when cowboys rushed to the West Coast of America to earn and start something new in a place that had no rules. Cryptocurrency is still wild. One can earn and lose money fast. But Bittrex has a substantial security policy thanks to the team’s huge experience in security and development for companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, Qualys, and Blackberry. The system employs an elastic, multi-stage holding strategy to ensure that the majority of funds are kept in cold storage for extra safety. Bittrex Global also enables the two-factor authentication for all users and provides a host of additional security features to provide multiple layers of protection. Bittrex cold wallet: https://bitinfocharts.com/en/bitcoin/address/385cR5DM96n1HvBDMzLHPYcw89fZAXULJP
Bittrex Global is a reliable and advanced platform for trading digital assets with a respected reputation, long history, and active market presence and development nowadays. The exchange is eligible to be used globally, including the US and its territories. The legal component of Bittrex Global is one of the most legitimate among numerous crypto-asset exchanges. The Bittrex team has had great ambitions and managed to deliver promises and more. The exchange staff comprises forward-thinking and exceptional individuals whose success is recognized in the traditional business and blockchain sector. Bittrex's purpose is to be the driving force in the blockchain revolution, expanding the application, importance, and accessibility of this game-changing technology worldwide. The exchange fosters new and innovative blockchain and related projects that could potentially change the way money and assets are managed globally. Alongside innovation, safety will always be the main priority of the company. The platform utilizes the most reliable and effective practices and available technologies to protect user accounts. Bittrex customers have always primarily been those who appreciate the highest degree of security. Because of the way the Bittrex trading platform is designed, it can easily scale to always provide instant order execution for any number of new customers. Bittrex supports algorithmic trading and empowers its customers with extensive APIs for more automated and profitable trading. One of the common features which is not available on the exchange is margin trading. No leverage used however adds up to the exchange's stability and prevents fast money seekers and risky traders from entering the exchange. Bittrex is a force of the blockchain revolution and an important entity of the emerging sector. The full version First part Second part
There has been a lot of talk recently over deflation vs inflation and which phenomenon is going to emerge. The traditional path of inflation is that it first shows up in soft commodities then energy. Indeed, the data for Q3 shows inflation, with soft commodities up from mid single digits all the way to 40% higher of the quarter (with the exception of Orange Juice and Oats which were marginally lower). Although energy is yet to show signs of that inflation, with significant overcapacity in oil suppressing prices (especially with the lack of air travel with the coronavirus), natural gas is higher by almost 46% over the quarter — obviously a significant amount. While this is a result of the initial response to coronavirus stimulus from March onwards, there is now a threat of deflation emerging — however further policy response is expected imminently.
With the US election underway we saw the first presidential debate recently. The event was slow with Joe Biden performing better than expected — by not being a disaster — and President Trumps strategy of freestyle, interruption and flow being handled well with superior tactics. Those tactics include the promise of a return of technocratic stability to the governance of the country — an approach complementary to unofficial policy supporting the corporate funded, professionally organised riots of 2020. There was a swing towards Biden in gambling books, with about an 8% improvement in odds given to a Democrat win. If Democrats do win, we expect that the policy mechanism of the US Government will include the expansion of fiscal and monetary policy to include an infrastructure spend and a continuation of the trend in monetary policy However if Republicans win, we expect that the policy mechanism of the US Government will include the expansion of fiscal and monetary policy to include an infrastructure spend and a continuation of the trend in monetary policy. This delusion of choice in the United States creates an image similar to China with both countries now having essentially a centrally planned economy at the highest level, both developed a mass surveillance program, have media synchronised to political objectives controlling the window of discourse, and with heavy politically influence from what amounts to an aristocracy. One major difference is that while China has been taking on debt at a record pace in 2020, the American fiscal stimulus has been held up in the democratic process. Between the fake trade-deal (China never having any intention of completing it), Coronavirus and political fandangaling in the US, China has stolen 2020 from the USA, giving some much needed time to develop strategy and tactical positioning before the Thucydides showdown emerges later down the track — in whatever form it does. The broader battle of de-centralisation vs centralisation will be important in the competition between the two powers and something that digital assets, the ethos and philosophy behind the space will become more important in creating competitive advantages in macro-strategy of all kinds.
Now that we have seen Australian house prices down for 5 months in a row there are hints of a dead-cat bounce in the Australian property market. With restricted access to Chinese investors as well as poor sentiment in the conditions of the year the Australian government is expected to intervene in the property market in some way later this year or early next. A federal budget is being delivered Tuesday the 6th October which has been described as a ‘jobs budget’. This budget is expected to have a $200 billion deficit with Australian national debt edging towards $1 trillion. $140 billion of stimulus is expected over the next four years with net migration negative for the first time since the 1940's. There is specific infrastructure and manufacturing expenditure as well as a continuation of JobSeeker payments in which the government is in a bind between encouraging re-entry to the workforce and providing a gentle landing for the unemployed adjusting to the boosted payments. Housing is likely to be one area where surprises would emerge, given Australia’s dependency on residential construction and broader housing prices. Some specific areas of interest are $1.5 billion to manufacturing and $7.5 billion of spending in infrastructure projects covering all states and territories. Whether this will be enough to avoid recession in a global slowdown remains to be seen. Recessions gather momentum slowly with employment decreasing only gradually before accelerated layoffs take hold. Despite this outlook Australia is likely to remain a benefactor of global government policies where monetary policy has been taken as far as it can go in many places and fiscal policy is expected to replace it. There is upto $2.2 trillion of fiscal expenditure in the US expected, along with other fiscal expenditure that would improve the price of commodities. We have already seen this effect in China this year with their record increases in debt on the iron ore price.
In the third quarter of 2020 we saw Decentralised Finance projects stage a bubble of their own. This gold-rush became so competitive at its peak that a project had been unnannounced, unreleased and in testing but was funded with $15mil of assets staked before it had a public name. Now in the late stages of this phenomenon we are likely to see many lessons learnt, some impressive winning stories and some disastrous losses. And the output of all of this chaos in defi includes projects that create a new aspect to the digital asset ecosystem as well as testing new products and game theory. Leading projects include yearn.finance, Synthetix, Uniswap, Compound, Ren and Aave. Some notable game-theory has been developed to bolt onto the Ampleforth tokenomics in Yam and Based amongst others.
One of the key takeaways of the de-fi boom was the inability of Ethereum to handle transactions with costs per transaction skyrocketing. In addition to this there has been statements made by Vitalik to temper expectations in the full release of Ethereum 2.0. However the comments also include a clear direction for the asset, a focus on rollups, plasma and state channel with upto 4000 TPS (transactions per second)’ and upto 100,000 TPS in the full release of Ethereum 2.0.
Although it has traded higher over the time-frame, bitcoin has not done a great deal in Q3. With a major announcement from Microstrategy investing their entire treasury into Bitcoin ($425 million USD) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($4.4 billion USD) holding about 2.2% of Bitcoins total market cap and reports from other institutional players such as OSL there is significant interest in the asset that is not translating smoothly into higher prices. Originally published athttps://minedigital.exchangeon October 5, 2020. Visit the original link for a more in-depth report including charts.
CryptoView Is An All-In-One Solution For Crypto Trading And Portfolio Management The wide range of crypto exchanges and platforms is still one of the biggest setbacks for novice and advanced traders to join the crypto sector. The steep learning curve of crypto trading further stops beginners from taking advantage of the booming industry. Despite the obstacles along the way, some companies provide working solutions for placing orders and managing portfolios, which significantly eases the process. CryptoView is one of those providers, who set the bar high. They aim to become the best crypto portfolio tracker for all traders, regardless of their expertise or trading knowledge. In its core, CryptoView is a crypto portfolio management platform with support for a multitude of the world’s largest crypto exchanges to date. The cryptocurrency tool is suitable for enthusiasts with several exchange accounts, as well as seasoned crypto traders and fund managers. CryptoView users can switch between trading pairs and exchanges with a few clicks in a single browser tab, thus giving them the ability to track and manage their portfolios via one secure interface. https://preview.redd.it/dmir56s4nqj51.jpg?width=1919&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1d575edb5dad074035ee0a39985c3432b0bc21d9 The team behind CryptoView designed the platform as an all-in-one integrated interface that combines cryptocurrency portfolio management, trading, market data, news, calendar, and other useful trading tools, under one secured account. CryptoView’s platform utilizes API connections to the world’s largest exchanges and grants instant data synchronization between a vast range of wallets and portfolios. The crypto trading platform also utilizes a wide range of professional features like multi-charting, advanced trading orders, portfolio sharing, financial reports, and various performance indicators. Another important feature of the platform is portfolio management. Users can view, manage, and share current portfolios with colleagues and friends. The portfolio management option gives users access to a detailed list of their assets, as well as various performance indicators to track the profitability of a given portfolio. Users can also automate portfolio reports by receiving them directly via email. To have full control over investments and minimize possible losses, CryptoView integrates a more professional set of smart features like order depth indicator and access to “stop” and “stop-limit” orders, which minimize the risks of a sudden price drop when trading cryptocurrencies. CryptoView supports sub-balance accounts such as Margin, Lending, Swap, and Futures, which further enhance the trading experience and give traders full control over their trading. Furthermore, the platform enables the use of manual balance entries, which are useful when connecting the trading platform with offline cryptocurrency storage, like a cold wallet. Monitor your assets with the best crypto portfolio tracker, powered by TradingView® In order to get the best comprehensive picture of portfolio asset movements, CryptoView incorporated the crypto trading charts of the leader in real-time price data, TradingView. The charts are intuitive and easy to understand for both novice and advanced traders and portfolio managers. Users have access to 85 technical indicators and 75 drawing tools to simultaneously monitor the real-time market data from all supported crypto exchanges. A multi-screen setup for easy switching between screens and trading pairs is supported as well. https://preview.redd.it/pv42l9ednqj51.jpg?width=1916&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=73916d09ce0c942a10a049c31f97b3ccd80b3989 The range of features also includes a customizable news aggregation mechanism, giving users the ability to select the best cryptocurrency news portals, an integrated crypto calendar for tracking all of the major events from the crypto sector, as well as in-browser, SMS and email notifications about price movements. Is CryptoView safe? The team at CryptoView takes security to extremes by offering clients enterprise-grade security. All platform actions executed by users are going through a cloud-based architecture with an SSL-encrypted connection. Inside the platform, all data is secured with strong API encryption, DoS protection, as well as two-factor authentication. In the event of unauthorized access, CryptoView has the option to freeze accounts and provide safety for users’ funds. CryptoView does not store any funds on its platform, further increasing the provided security levels and enhancing customer`s experience with the platform How to use CryptoView? The signup on the platform takes just a few clicks, and all users receive a 30-day free trial with all of CryptoView’s functionalities. To register, users have to fill a registration form and verify their email, 2fA is optional. After account verification, users have to connect their crypto exchange account to be able to track portfolio balances and make all desired customizations. The 30-day free pass lets users familiarize themselves with the plentiful of functionalities and decide if they are delighted with the features provided by the cryptocurrency portfolio tracker. The prices for using the platform after the one-month trial are lower than the competitors, starting at just $19 for a single one month. If users pay for a whole year, they get a 30% discount on their purchase, and will pay only $13 per month. Trade and earn money with CryptoView’s affiliate and referral programs CryptoView gives users the chance to earn 2 free months by referring to a friend or a colleague that decides to become a paid user. Crypto bloggers or influencers can utilize CryptoView’s affiliate program and earn $20 in Bitcoin for every subscriber that comes through their affiliate link. The company provides marketing materials and a 90-day cookie to increase the chance of monetizing their audience. In the end – beginner friendly? Yes, indeed CryptoView takes cryptocurrency trading and portfolio management and translates it into an easy-to-comprehend platform, suitable for both novice and advanced users. With the help of a massive range of crypto tools and state-of-the-art software, CryptoView flattens the adoption curve, which still drives users away from the exciting world of cryptocurrencies.
Lines of Navigation | Monthly Portfolio Update - July 202
Our little systems have their day; They have their day and cease to be - Tennyson, In Memoriam A.H.H. This is my forty-fourth portfolio update. I complete this update monthly to check my progress against my goal. Portfolio goal My objective is to reach a portfolio of $2 180 000 by 1 July 2021. This would produce a real annual income of about $87 000 (in 2020 dollars). This portfolio objective is based on an expected average real return of 3.99 per cent, or a nominal return of 6.49 per cent. Portfolio summary
Vanguard Lifestrategy High Growth Fund - $716 680
Vanguard Lifestrategy Growth Fund - $41 103
Vanguard Lifestrategy Balanced Fund - $77 788
Vanguard Diversified Bonds Fund - $111 667
Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) - $202 336
Vanguard International Shares ETF (VGS) - $54 872
Betashares Australia 200 ETF (A200) - $230 058
Telstra shares (TLS) -$1 785
Insurance Australia Group shares (IAG) - $6 449
NIB Holdings shares (NHF) - $5 316
Gold ETF (GOLD.ASX) - $124 756
Secured physical gold - $20 070
Ratesetter (P2P lending) - $9 881
Bitcoin - $173 010
Raiz app (Aggressive portfolio) - $17 258
Spaceship Voyager app (Index portfolio) -$2 619
BrickX (P2P rental real estate) - $4 471
Total portfolio value: $1 800 119 (+$34 376 or 1.9%) Asset allocation
Australian shares - 41.1%
Global shares- 22.2%
Emerging market shares - 2.2%
International small companies - 2.9%
Total international shares - 27.3%
Total shares - 68.4% (6.6% under)
Total property securities - 0.2% (0.2% over)
Australian bonds - 4.5%
International bonds - 9.1%
Total bonds - 13.6% (1.4% under)
Gold - 8.0%
Bitcoin - 9.6%
Gold and alternatives - 17.7% (7.7% over)
Presented visually, below is a high-level view of the current asset allocation of the portfolio. [Chart] Comments The portfolio has substantially increased this month, continuing the recovery in portfolio value since March. The strong portfolio growth of over $34 000, or 1.9 per cent, returns the value of the portfolio close to that achieved at the end of February this year. [Chart] This month there was minimal movement in the value of Australian and global equity holdings, There was, however, a significant lift of around 6 per cent in the value of gold exchange traded fund units, as well as a rise in the value of Bitcoin holdings. These movements have pushed the value of gold holdings to their highest level so far on the entire journey. Their total value has approximately doubled since the original major purchases across 2009 to 2015. For most of the past year gold has functioned as a portfolio stabiliser, having a negative correlation to movements in Australian equities (of around -0.3 to -0.4). As low and negative bond rates spread across the world, however, the opportunity cost of holding gold is reduced, and its potential diversification benefits loom larger. The fixed income holdings of the portfolio also continued to fall beneath the target allocation, making this question of what represents a defensive (or negatively correlated to equity) asset far from academic. This steady fall is a function of the slow maturing of Ratesetter loans, which were largely made between 2015 and 2017. Ratesetter has recently advised of important changes to its market operation, and placed a fixed maximum cap on new loan rates. By replacing market set rates with maximum rates, the peer-to-peer lending platform appears to be shifting to more of a 'intermediated' role in which higher past returns (of around 8 to 9 per cent) will now no longer be possible. [Chart] The expanding value of gold and Bitcoin holdings since January last year have actually had the practical effect of driving new investments into equities, since effectively for each dollar of appreciation, for example, my target allocation to equities rises by seven dollars. Consistent with this, investments this month have been in the Vanguard international shares exchange-traded fund (VGS) using Selfwealth. This has been directed to bring my actual asset allocation more closely in line with the target split between Australian and global shares. Fathoming out: franking credits and portfolio distributions Earlier last month I released a summary of portfolio income over the past half year. This, like all before it, noted that the summary was prepared on a purely 'cash' basis, reflecting dividends actually paid into a bank account, and excluding consideration of franking credits. Franking credits are credits for company tax paid at the company level, which can be passed to individual shareholders, reducing their personal tax liability. They are not cash, but for a personal investor with tax liabilities they can have equivalent value. This means that comparing equity returns to other investments without factoring these credits can produce a distorted picture of an investor's final after-tax return. In past portfolio summaries I have noted an estimate for franking credits in footnotes, but updating the value for this recently resulted in a curiosity about the overall significance of this neglected element of my equity returns. This neglect resulted from my perception earlier in the journey that they represented a marginal and abstract factor, which could effectively be assumed away for the sake of simplicity in reporting. This is not a wholly unfair view, in the sense that income physically received and able to be spent is something definably different in kind than a notional 'pre-payment' credit for future tax costs. Yet, as the saying goes, because the prospect of personal tax is as certain as extinction from this world, in some senses a credit of this kind can be as valuable as a cash distribution. Restoring the record: trends and drivers of franking credits To collect a more accurate picture of the trends and drivers of franking credits I relied on a few sources - tax statements, records and the automatic franking credit estimates that the portfolio tracking site Sharesight generates. The chart below sets out both the level and major different sources of franking credits received over the past eleven years. [Chart] From this chart some observations can be made.
The level of franking credits has grown substantially over the past ten years - from a total of under $1 000 per year to around $8 000 annually.
Recent years have seen a particularly high accrual of franking credits - such that by value, over half of the total value of franking credits has been received over the past three financial years.
These credits now constitute a significant element in total realised returns - in the last financial year the value of franking credits represented a 12 per cent boost to the total level of cash distributions, and over the past two years they have contributed around $8 000 each year to the total level of after-tax returns. This is the equivalent of the portfolio paying nearly $700 per month in tax liabilities.
The key reason for the rapid growth over the recent decade has been the increased investment holdings in Australian equities. As part of the deliberate rebalancing towards Australian shares across the past two years, these holdings have expanded. The chart below sets out the total value of Australian shares held over the comparable period. [Chart] As an example, at the beginning of this record Australian equities valued at around $276 000 were held. Three years later, the holding were nearly three times larger. The phase of consistently increasing the Australian equities holding to meet its allocated weighting is largely complete. This means that the period of rapid growth seen in the past few years is unlikely to repeat. Rather, growth will revert to be in proportion to total portfolio growth. Close to cross-over: the credit card records One of the most powerful initial motivators to reach financial independence was the concept of the 'cross over' point in Vicki Robins and Joe Dominguez's Your Money or Your Life. This was the point at which monthly expenses are exceeded by investment income. One of the metrics I have traced is this 'cross-over' point in relation to recorded credit card expenses. And this point is now close indeed. Expenditures on the credit card have continued their downward trajectory across the past month. The three year rolling average of monthly credit card spending remains at its lowest point over the period of the journey. Distributions on the same basis now meet over 99 per cent of card expenses - with the gap now the equivalent of less than $50 per month. [Chart] The period since April of the achievement of a notional and contingent form of financial independence has continued. The below chart illustrates this temporary state, setting out the the extent to which to which portfolio distributions (red) cover estimated total expenses (green), measured month to month. [Chart] An alternative way to view the same data is to examine the degree to which total expenses (i.e. fixed payments not made on credit card added to monthly credit card expenses) are met by distributions received. An updated version of this is seen in the chart below. [Chart] Interestingly, on a trend basis, this currently identifies a 'crossing over' point of trend distributions fully meeting total expenditure from around November 2019. This is not conclusive, however, as the trend curve is sensitive to the unusual COVID-19 related observations of the first half of this year, and could easily shift further downward if normal expense patterns resume. One issue this analysis raises is what to do with the 'credit card purchases' measure reported below. This measure is designed to provide a stylised benchmark of how close the current portfolio is to a target of generating the income required to meet an annual average credit card expenditure of $71 000. The problem with this is that continued falling credit card spending means that average credit card spending is lower than that benchmark for all time horizons - measured as three and four year averages, or in fact taken as a whole since 2013. So the set benchmark may, if anything, be understating actual progress compared the graphs and data above by not reflecting changing spending levels. In the past I have addressed this trend by reducing the benchmark. Over coming months, or perhaps at the end of the year, I will need to revisit both the meaning, and method, of setting this measure. Progress Progress against the objective, and the additional measures I have reached is set out below. Measure Portfolio All Assets Portfolio objective – $2 180 000 (or $87 000 pa) 82.6% 111.5% Credit card purchases – $71 000 pa 100.7% 136.0% Total expenses – $89 000 pa 80.7% 109.0% Summary One of the most challenging aspects of closing in on a fixed numerical target for financial independence with risk assets still in place is that the updrafts and downdrafts of market movements can push the goal further away, or surprisingly close. There have been long period of the journey where the total value of portfolio has barely grown, despite regular investments being made. As an example, the portfolio ended 2018 lower than it started the year. The past six months have been another such period. This can create a sense of treading water. Yet amidst the economic devastation affecting real lives and businesses, this is an extremely fortunate position to be in. Australia and the globe are set to experience an economic contraction far more severe than the Global Financial Crisis, with a lesser capacity than previously for interest rates to cushion the impact. Despite similar measures being adopted by governments to address the downturn, it is not clear whether these are fit for purpose. Asset allocation in this environment - of being almost suspended between two realities - is a difficult problem. The history of markets can tell us that just when assets seem most 'broken', they can produce outsized returns. Yet the problem remains that far from being surrounded by broken markets, the proliferation appears to be in bubble-like conditions. This recent podcast discussion with the founder of Grant's Interest Rate Observer provided a useful historical context to current financial conditions this month. One of the themes of the conversation was 'thinking the unthinkable', such as a return of inflation. Similar, this Hoover Institute video discussion, with a 'Back from the future' premise, provides some entertaining, informed and insightful views on the surprising and contingent nature of what we know to be true. Some of our little systems may well have had their day, but what could replace them remains obscured to any observer. The post, links and full charts can be seen here.
"DEFI = Decentralized Finance" DEFI stands for decentralized decentralized finance, and finance here refers to a system that uses cryptocurrency. It is a system that allows you to receive a loan with cryptocurrency as collateral or to make a cryptocurrency loan with real economic collaterals. Furthermore, the lending system, POS, and DPOS that receive interest which allows staking of cryptocurrencies also belong to DEFI. This illustrates how wide the industry scope is.
The rise of the globally popular DEFI cryptocurrencies may continue the heat for the time being, but traders who experienced the bitcoin bull market in 2017 can easily predict that these DEFI cryptocurrencies will burst someday. I also knew about DEFI, but I am not trading DEFI cryptocurrencies as there are uncertainties about DEFI's system. While seeing the horrific price increase of DEFI cryptocurrencies such as Chainlink, I often thought jumping in once, but decided to find NEXT DEFI. Some experts have already diagnosed that the DEFI cryptocurrency market is in a bubble, and are saying that DEFI on the Ethereum blockchain is unreasonable because it requires paying too much network fees. Blockchain is a feature that eliminates the intermediaries to remove unreasonable fees but now, DEFI cryptocurrency traders are trading against $2M network fees per day. Here, you can infer what the NEXT DEFI will be. For the NEXT DEFI, I think that a blockchain platform that can connect DEFI cryptocurrencies easily without paying ridiculous network fees will take the place of NEXT DEFI.
🎯 If You Have Decided To Invest In DEFI
The ultimate responsibility of investing in cryptocurrency lies with the trader themselves, and I cannot say that you should not trade. But one certain aspect is, even with these DEFI cryptocurrencies, a bear market will start someday. When Bitcoin first exceeded $10,000 in 2017, all cryptocurrencies said, "Wow!! That's great!! Bitcoin will change the world!!!" and "Bitcoin will break at least $100,000." However Bitcoin stopped its rally at about $20,000, and the Ice Age came in 2018. If you decide to invest in DEFI right now, I recommend that you don't just imagine a golden future, and we encourage you to trade with risk management with the thought that a bear market may begin at any time.
🎯 In The End, Bitcoin Will Show A Tremendous Rise
At the time of the bitcoin bull-run in 2017, there were actually not so many things you could do with Bitcoin. At best, it was used for payment and remittance purposes, and some projects hard fork bitcoin to introduce it to their service platforms, but the time until the blockchain confirmation of about 10 minutes was difficult to apply to real use cases. On the other hand, at the time, Ethereum could easily create smart contracts and create tokens. Thanks to this, a huge number of cryptocurrency projects have conducted ICOs, and to participate in the ICO, cryptocurrency traders purchased Ethereum, paid Ethereum network fees, and generated tremendous traffic to the Ethereum network. Therefore, as the price of Ethereum soared, the price of Bitcoin, the leader of the cryptocurrency, also skyrocketed. I think it is making a very similar appearance now. At the time, an astronomical amount of money flowed into the cryptocurrency market to participate in the Ethereum-based ICOs, eventually making the current all-time high of Bitcoin, and the current situation is the same as DEFI, and astronomical funds are flowing into the cryptocurrency market. I have no doubt that these funds will eventually flock to Bitcoin, leading to an uptrend rally to break down the huge barrier of about $19,000 in Bitcoin price, the all-time high. I am a Bitcoin margin trader, Hedgehog. Thank you for reading this post. \Please note that this article is to share the thoughts of Hedgehog by re-establishing the current cryptocurrency market while watching the video of a bitcoin YouTuber Spunky.* 🔸 MCS Official Website : https://mycoinstory.com 🔸 MCS Telegram : https://t.me/mycoinstory_en Traders ALWAYS come first on MCS. Thank you. MCS Official Twitter (EN):https://twitter.com/mycoinstory_mcs MCS Official Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/MyCoinStory.official
\This post has been written by Hedgehog, an MCS influencer and one of Korea's famous cryptocurrency key opinion leaders.* https://preview.redd.it/15cn7c8sg4i51.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=a8cf9ee278cfe942cc536ae875d1bec4b331b00d #Be_a_Trader! Greetings from MCS, the derivatives trading platform where traders ALWAYS come first. If you are an MCS trader interested in Defi, that is emerging and trending in the cryptocurrency industry, you will have heard of an exchange called Uniswap and know that Uniswap is a decentralized exchange. The concept of Uniswap's decentralized exchange is very different from the decentralized exchange (DEX) which trended in 2017-2018.
https://preview.redd.it/4t7ijzxtg4i51.png?width=1922&format=png&auto=webp&s=1b9daba69637a54a82f92791a23401e13cd9f19e The image above is a screenshot of Binance's Decentralized Exchange (DEX). Most Decentralized Exchanges (DEX) have similar UI/UXs as above. These decentralized exchanges (DEX) are different from centralized exchanges as they do not require deposits of cryptocurrency assets on the exchange but rather links it with personal wallets. The trading concept is no different from centralized exchanges. https://preview.redd.it/y3zhz0vug4i51.png?width=868&format=png&auto=webp&s=b07d075b55a2e17c6822e0f124860a1411d61d5f The image above is a screenshot of Uniswap's trade page. MCS traders who are new to Uniswap will have many questions like "What is this?" and "Can I trade with this?" Unlike traditional decentralized exchanges (DEXs), Uniswap has removed the order book. Instead, Uniswap introduced the Oracle concept and uses a pricing mechanism which guarantees liquidity and provide low spreads and slippage. These mechanisms are working successfully and are equipped with the concept of receiving incentives by providing liquidity utilizing the pool function on Uniswap.
Uniswap's Simple Market Making Mechanism
Uniswap guarantees liquidity using an automated market making mechanism. ERC-20 tokens traded in Uniswap has an Ethereum pool and token pool, and at a specific time, the token price is determined by the ratio of the Ethereum pool and the token pool size. Every time someone receives Ethereum from Uniswap by selling tokens, the amount of tokens increase and Ethereum decreases. In this case, the token price will gradually decrease by mechanism. Conversely, whenever someone gives Ethereum and buys a token, the corresponding token in the pool decreases, and the Ethereum quantity increases, so the mechanism increases the token price. As such, the token price is determined by an automated market making algorithm by checking the amount of Ethereum and token remaining in the token pool.
Incentivized Liquidity on Uniswap
Uniswap's automatic market making mechanism provides its own liquidity. However, it requires a significant pool of Ethereum and tokens to run smoothly. Uniswap incentivizes this liquidity by rewarding those who contribute to Ethereum and token pools. When each transaction occurs, part of the transaction fee is compensated to those who provide liquidity, and the size of the reward is proportional to the contribution ratio of the token pool liquidity.
Have you a concern about how to read cryptocurrency charts? Well, this is so easy for you at the Bitcoinsxchanger site. Cryptocurrency charts have become one of the necessary items to make you aware of the progressed crypto prices and costs. They are also useful once you make your mind to compare digital assets with each other. In this way, such charts are a source of comfort for the new users so that they can easily search for anything related to the helpful news about crypto price. Our cryptocurrency charts are containing the crypto exchange charges that are just according to the world’s market.
What Is Eth To AUD
Although people have gotten great development in the area of Ethereum, but still there are many inquiries that can raise showing impatience and anxiety about Ethereum trade. Therefore, there is a need to satisfy them with the proper response and extra details to clear the concepts. It is the demand of time to be known to everything that is crucial to get the admirable results from cryptocurrency. What is eth to AUD is an eagerness of customers who have not much experience and skills to grow up the crypto market. Eth is actually a short term of Ethereum and it is one of the growing crypto coins that can be converted to AUD.
Invest Eth To AUD
If you have consternation about how to invest Eth to AUD, then have a look at the amazing apparatus and highly technical system connected with this website. This will help you in accomplishing the major task to get the desirable results from a small investment in Ethereum and other branches of crypto coins. Bitcoins xchanger intends to assist you to reach a level that serves as the main success point for yours. Start achieving your dreams from this superb platform where possible crypto deals and a discount is available for you. Once you have successfully joined our crypto group, there will be a large number of options to get success in this sector.
Sell Eth To AUD
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Best Exchange Eth To AUD
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Online Eth To AUD Convert
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\This post has been written by Hedgehog, an MCS influencer and one of Korea's famous cryptocurrency key opinion leaders.* https://preview.redd.it/bbpp5xnhqph51.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=a20d1f5bafd59fa278e1ed677a510f505efd77df #Be_a_Trader! Greetings from MCS, the derivatives trading platform where traders ALWAYS come first. Cryptocurrency traders are realizing valuable profits through intense trading in their own way. The strategy I am going to share with you is not complicated and may not be the best strategy, but it is a way to trade Bitcoin that is 100% profitable.
🎯 Bitcoin Trading Strategy with 100% Profitability
https://preview.redd.it/k2g3j0ajqph51.png?width=1300&format=png&auto=webp&s=f51122288180606dd46c3a4b0cfc7af2ebd844d0 Once MCS traders have a complete understanding of funding fees, you can start trading Bitcoin with 100% profit. This trading strategy is called the 1x Short Strategy. Due to the nature of the Bitcoin perpetual contract inverse product, if I take a 1x short position, my bitcoin quantity will vary depending on the bitcoin price, but strangely my assets will remain constant. In this situation, if you receive funding fees, you will continue to accumulate huge interest. If you are new to the 1x short strategy, you may have not resonated with the details above. I will now explain the details one by one below.
👉 How Can My Assets Be The Same When The Bitcoin Quantity Fluctuates?
https://preview.redd.it/svtr2hwjqph51.png?width=1386&format=png&auto=webp&s=3a252e579956ea055ee3d97e270191b0edb20526 The above chart is a shows the BTC profit and loss when entering the 1x short position with 1 BTC at 10,000 dollars (blue line) and holding 1 BTC as it is (red line). When 1 BTC is held as it is, the amount of BTC does not change depending on the price change. However, if I took a 1x short position with 1 BTC for 10,000 dollars, my BTC profit or loss will fluctuate as shown in the in the blue line according to the change in BTC price. You don't have to worry too much if a 1x short position generates BTC profit or loss. Let's look at the chart below. https://preview.redd.it/3vclmzhkqph51.png?width=1388&format=png&auto=webp&s=9a45d517a0264e8d215d94e4ca95877e8514630a In the chart above, the blue line is a position of 1x short with 1 BTC at 10,000 dollars, and the red line is just holding 1 BTC. In this chart, you can see how the value of the asset changes according to the price change. In a glance, you can see that the value of 1 BTC changes according to the price changes. Surprisingly, the blue 1x short position line stays stable in value. I believe that the more experienced MCS traders realized why the value of the 1x short remained constant. However if you encountered this for the first time, it may be a little difficult to understand. For everyone who did not completely understand, I will explain the 1x short strategy with an example.
💡 Example: Suppose Hedgehog has 1 BTC in his MCS account and the current BTC price is $10,000. Hedgehog entered 10,000 short contracts with 1x leverage at $10,000 using 1 BTC as margin. Then this can be organized as follows. Hedgehog's Original Capital = 1BTC Hedgehog's Original Fiat Capital = $10,000 Over time, the price of Bitcoin has reached $15,000. Many traders believe that for a short position, if the price increases, there will be a loss. However there is an exception for 1x short positions. Hedgehog's BTC quantity and asset value can be summarized as follows. Short Position PNL Equation = (1/Average Closing Price - 1/Average Entry Price) * Quantity As time has passed, the Bitcoin price is assumed to be $15,000, so the average end price = $15,000 Since Hedgehog entered 10,000 short contracts at $10,000 with 1x leverage, average entry price = $10,000, contract quantity = 10,000 contracts If substituted, (1/15000 - 1/10000) * 10000 = -0.33333333BTC Hedgehog's loss in BTC is -0.33333333 BTC. Hedgehog's current BTC Holdings = 1BTC - 0.33333333BTC = 0.66666667BTC Hedgehog's Asset Value = 0.66666667BTC * $15,000 = $10,000.00005
Wait What‼️ Although the amount of BTC decreased, the price of bitcoin increased by the amount of lost BTC, and the asset value of Hedgehog remained the same.‼️ It is the same in the scenario when the bitcoin price falls. In the case of a 1x short position, if the bitcoin price falls, the amount of BTC increases accordingly, but the bitcoin price decreases, so the asset value of Hedgehog remains at about $10,000. Do you now understand how the 1x short strategy freezes the asset value? Let's move onto the 2nd question.
👉 But Receiving Funding Fees For Short Position Isn't Guaranteed
MCS | Bitcoin Bull-Run in 2017 Wasn't Made Overnight
\This post has been written by Hedgehog, an MCS influencer and one of Korea's famous cryptocurrency key opinion leaders.* https://preview.redd.it/k9mapuykcbg51.png?width=1024&format=png&auto=webp&s=4c6877b92219a594e437a378e889423953b230d0 #Be_a_Trader! Greetings from MCS, the derivatives trading platform where traders ALWAYS come first. https://preview.redd.it/xt8dvjslcbg51.png?width=640&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe58e59c2e4d42e57bd1221c92d190bbb9cf5769 As of 3PM August 9, 2020, the price of Bitcoin has once again exceeded $12,000, challenging the latest high of $12,154. The passage of additional stimulus packages failed in Congress last week, as opposed to the opposition Democrats who dominated the House of Representatives, anticipating an agreement on an additional US stimulus package. In response, President Trump signed an executive order for economic stimulus measures worth about $1 trillion with tax cuts in mind. The Bank of Korea also evaluated that "there will be abundant liquidity for the time being as major countries continue to have loose monetary policies." However, some investment banks predicted that gold prices would decline slightly after the third quarter. The market price of major cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, which is called 'digital gold' as it is not issued in a specific country, has also begun to wriggle again. Bitcoin, which is repeating both the bull and bear market at a rapid pace, based on the bitcoin chart from 2017, let's look at what is happening with bitcoin today. https://preview.redd.it/12jr58omcbg51.png?width=2364&format=png&auto=webp&s=05899a65448c1338f5ee6e6b5b959ca331fdbb11 When the bitcoin entered the bull market at the end of 2017, many cryptocurrency traders realized their economic freedom through bitcoin trading. This is a price chart from July 2017 to August 2020. You can see the chart of a steep rise in the Bitcoin market at the end of 2017. In fact, on November 13, 2017, the bitcoin price hit a short-term low of $5950, then hit $19497 on December 17, 2017, and is still the highest price in Bitcoin's history. Many cryptocurrency traders look only at the Bitcoin chart and once again make a big misunderstanding that once bitcoin enters the bull market, it will not decline and will make a steady rise. https://preview.redd.it/x4kmv17ncbg51.png?width=2348&format=png&auto=webp&s=7b0a8a7c9fce3de84f66096c265b49344e8df2ce The Bitcoin chart above shows the price of Bitcoin for about a month, from November 13, 2017, the short-term low of 2017 to December 19, the all-time high of Bitcoin. If you check the bitcoin chart at the time of 2017 as monthly candle and yearly candle, you may be mistaken that the price is rising every day. However if you look at the monthly chart at the time of the exact bull run, you can see that there is no unconditional increase. The Bitcoin price steadily increased, but you can see that there are numerous rises and falls until it hit the all-time high. In the bearish market, short position holders unavoidably appeared, creating numerous FUDs, and in the bullish market, long position holders appeared, spreading tremendous fantasies about Bitcoin to others. After doing dozens and hundreds of iterations, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $19497. https://preview.redd.it/td9tn2uncbg51.png?width=2338&format=png&auto=webp&s=44de57e629dac4fa0ecc4711c27ade2c2132e84c The chart above is a chart of Bitcoin prices from just before Black Thursday in March to the present. From $4,000 after Black Thursday to now reaching $12,000, you can see at a glance that there have been numerous increases and decreases. Additional stimulus measures in the US, interest rate freeze, gold price rise, post halving, grayscale trust fund operation expansion, Ethereum 2.0 emergence. In addition, many US institutional investors are continuously entering the market for bitcoin investment with the strategy to hedge the global inflation. The times are good, but the price can't always go upward. Sometimes, the price of bitcoin is expected to rush toward its all-time high of $19497, with countless recurrences of a downtrend and then a bull market. Investing can't be someone else's behalf, and you shouldn't trust 100% of what others say. You must make profits by using your own investment principles and thorough management. Just because the bitcoin price has gone down for a while, don't be swept away by the FUD of short position holders, and you shouldn't fall into an unfounded illusion that it has turned into a bull market. I think that it is natural for all assets to fall as much as they have risen, and if you conduct good mind control, you can always make objective investment decisions which will produce better results.
💡 "Nothing is Forever in this World" - Charlie Chaplin
You should be aware of the Bitcoin charts that seem to continuously rise will always have an end to the upward trend at some point in time. Even when the ice age comes once again in the Bitcoin markets, there will always be a rise again after the fall. I encourage traders to realize economic freedom at the cryptocurrency derivatives exchange MCS! I am a Bitcoin margin trader, Hedgehog. Thank you for reading this post. 🔸 MCS Official Website : https://mycoinstory.com 🔸 MCS Telegram : https://t.me/mycoinstory_en Traders ALWAYS come first on MCS. Thank you. MCS Official Twitter (EN):https://twitter.com/mycoinstory_mcs MCS Official Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/MyCoinStory.official
Greetings from MCS, the derivatives trading platform where traders ALWAYS come first. https://preview.redd.it/uaryqg421cf51.png?width=1302&format=png&auto=webp&s=049a3413ff1392c1f579e84e9a14cac76959e12c For the first time in history, the world gold price has topped $2,000 an ounce. Quantitative easing in major countries has brought astronomical amounts into the financial markets. In addition, Nasdaq is also setting a new high in anticipation of further economic stimulus agreements in the US this week. Financial experts cite the followings for the main causes of the recent gold rally. 👉 First, experts analyze this intensification of the gold rally was caused by the stuttered US dollar rebound and the lowered US Treasury yield. In particular, as the US government's discussion on further economic stimulus measures to alleviate the global economic damage caused by COVID-19 from Wuhan, China is expected to come to an agreement this week, many speculate that this will lead to a drop in dollar value. Although the White House, Republicans, and Democrats have yet to narrow their views on additional stimulus measures prolonging the negotiation, it is very likely that the release of more dollars in the market, in the sense that everyone agrees on the need for additional stimulus, will relatively increase the value of gold. 👉 Second, some say that “the central banks in many countries will continue to buy gold to promote gold prices” referring to cases where central banks' buying of gold increased their gold prices during the 2009 global financial crisis.
"How high will the gold price go❓ "
Most experts believe that the gold price is still far from its limit. Especially, the Goldman Sachs Group is looking at $2,300 an ounce, Bank of America from $2,500 an ounce to up to $3,000 an ounce, and RBC Capital Market $3,000 an ounce. https://preview.redd.it/vdk9z7251cf51.png?width=1308&format=png&auto=webp&s=057fc3749ebb69d881d5c0f1dbb35e8d075c7b89 The price of Bitcoin, also known as a safe digital asset, also remains in the $11,100 to $11,300 range ever since it recently broke the highest point of $12,000. https://preview.redd.it/98v29w551cf51.png?width=2272&format=png&auto=webp&s=50b3957a0cffaa121d49c38e083223780841a3a9 Bitcoin, the No. 1 market capitalization among cryptocurrencies, has a market capitalization of approximately 200 billion USD as of August 5, 2020. This is more than the global stock valuations of Intel and Coca-Cola. https://preview.redd.it/z6cxe1y51cf51.png?width=2560&format=png&auto=webp&s=6e74da23155fd6a4b9fe2521c61cbf4bd8bd9b94 A cryptocurrency media outlet, CoinDesk recently said that "Bitcoin recently hit a market high of $11,480, but there was a sign of buyer (buying force) fatigue in the technology chart. If the price falls below $11,000, it could retreat back to, before resistance now support, $10,500 (the highest point in February). However, if Bitcoin continues to settle above $11,400 on the time chart, it is highly likely that the rally will go above the latest high beyond $12,000". I believe now that the value of gold, a famous safe asset, is the highest ever as the U.S. government has tentatively agreed to invest an additional $1 trillion in economic stimulus, the Bitcoin is also preparing to its rally again. I also think that since it is the post-halving period with the good news waiting in line including the Ethereum 2.0, we have enough momentum to rally more than $20,000 by the end of the year.
💡 "Nothing is permanent in this wicked world - not even our troubles." - Charlie Chaplin
All financial assets, including Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency leader, cannot be bullish forever. In the long run, they can gradually rise by stepping up the lowest price point, but there are a lot of ups and downs along the way. MCS traders can enjoy a bull market while preparing for a bear market on the one hand. https://preview.redd.it/864543571cf51.png?width=2560&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cc17316075758ca10523a6124204ca57351d737 On UPbit and Bithumb, the major cryptocurrency exchanges in Korea, one can profit in a bull market, but it is very difficult to realize profits in a bear market, nless you are a master of flipping,. As a result, many cryptocurrency traders will turn their attention to cryptocurrency derivatives exchanges in bear markets. After a successful launch of the Bitcoin perpetual contract product, the trading market on MCS is vigorously moving. The perpetual contract, one of Bitcoin derivatives, can short sell (betting on price drop) in the bear market, making it easy to profit even if the full-fledged bear market starts. In addition, even in today's bull market, you can take long positions (betting on rising prices), and you can use leverage to amplify your investment beyond the assets managed you own, enabling very effective Bitcoin trading. *If you use leverage, the risk is significantly higher, so please be cautious of the risk and trade safely. I hope this post helped you to understand the pros and cons of Bitcoin perpetual contract better, and I really wish that you realize your financial freedom on MCS, a cryptocurrency derivatives trading platform!! I am a Bitcoin margin trader, Hedgehog. Thank you for reading this post. Traders ALWAYS come first on MCS. Thank you. MCS Website:https://mycoinstory.com/ MCS Official Twitter (EN):https://twitter.com/mycoinstory_mcs MCS Official Facebook:https://www.facebook.com/MyCoinStory.official MCS Telegram Chat (EN):https://t.me/mycoinstory_EN
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